Donald Trump’s Support Among White Working Class Has ‘Shrunk Significantly’

Donald Trump’s support among white working-class voters has “shrunk significantly” since President Joe Biden dropped out of the 2024 race, said CNN data expert Harry Enten.

The latest New York Times/Siena College poll, conducted between August 5 and August 9, found that in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, more white voters without a college degree, a group that has typically favored Republicans, are backing Vice President Kamala Harris.

According to the poll, Trump’s lead among the demographic has been slashed by 13 points since May, when Biden was still the presumptive candidate for the Democratic Party. In a New York Times/Siena College poll conducted between April 28 and May 9, Trump was 26 points ahead of Biden among white non-college-educated voters when third-party candidates were included—with 52 percent to his opponent’s 26 percent.

Trump now only leads by 13 points among white non-college-educated voters, 53 percent to 40 percent when third-party candidates are included. The former president is also 13 points ahead of Harris in the demographic in a head-to-head matchup. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

“Donald Trump still leads, but look at that margin. It has shrunk significantly…nearly been sliced by half,” Enten said on CNN.

“Those are the types of numbers that Kamala Harris needs to put up in order to win,” Enten continued. {snip}

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