Population Decline of Unauthorized Immigrants Stalls, May Have Reversed

Jeffrey S. Passel et al., Pew Hispanic, September 23, 2013

1. OVERVIEW

The sharp decline in the U.S. population of unauthorized immigrants that accompanied the 2007-2009 recession has bottomed out, and the number may be rising again. As of March 2012, 11.7 million unauthorized immigrants were living in the United States, according to a new preliminary Pew Research Center estimate based on U.S. government data.

The estimated number of unauthorized immigrants peaked at 12.2 million in 2007 and fell to 11.3 million in 2009, breaking a rising trend that had held for decades. Although there are indications the number of unauthorized immigrants may be rising, the 2012 population estimate is the midpoint of a wide range of possible values and in a statistical sense is no different from the 2009 estimate.

Different trends appear among the six states in which 60% of unauthorized immigrants live—California, Florida, Illinois, New Jersey, New York and Texas.1 Of these, only Texas had increases but no decrease in its unauthorized immigrant population over the 2007-2011 period. The other five states (and the balance of the country) all experienced peak numbers of unauthorized immigrants in 2007 followed by declines over the next year or two.

In terms of country of origin, the post-2007 population dip was even sharper among Mexicans (who made up 52% of 2012 unauthorized immigrants) than the overall population decrease, although the Mexican decline appears to have stopped after 2010. In 2012, 6.05 million Mexican unauthorized immigrants were in the U.S., a decline of about 900,000 from 2007.

{snip}

[Editor’s Note: The rest of the report is available at the original article link below.]

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  • Puggg

    I don’t really buy that the population increase of illegal aliens ever stalled.

    • Oil Can Harry

      The number of invaders decreased slightly but then rose again this year after Obamarx and the Gang of Eight Traitors promised an amnesty.

      Interestingly the decrease began in 2007, the same year a proposed amnesty was defeated by patriots. That defeat, along with the later recession, may have convinced some illegals to leave.

    • Greg Thomas

      That makes two of us Pugg. Not as long as they can slither across the border, pump out a couple anchor babies and then ride the back of tax payers. They never had it so good.

    • John_HD

      They’ve been underestimating the illegal population for years. I bet the real number is closer to 30 million. How many more years before the host is overwhelmed by the parasites? Surely this charade (USSA) can’t continue for even 15 more years.

  • Dave4088

    This is just propaganda to convince people that the illegal invasion is no longer a problem, therefore making the case that “immigration reform” makes sense. The 11.7 number being bandied about in the article should be multiplied by 3.

    • Erasmus

      We must have nothing less than a militarily secured southern border. To send our children to risk their lives to guard the borders of places like Afghanistan and Iraq, while ours remain unguarded, is criminal.

    • joesolargenius

      I agree that they don’t have a clue about how m any people are residing and working here illegally, I have met a ton of Israeli Women working under the table at a Kiosk in the Malls all across America during just the last five years.I have also caught Chinese Women using False I D while working as a Security Officer in California and Nevada.

  • Spartacus

    • Greg Thomas

      Mexicans are not “getting smarter,” our government has all but surrendered to their invasion!

      • Helios Megistos

        None dares call it treason; remember the Alamo!

        • Mark Talmont

          Actually the Texans were a lot more upset about what happened at Goliad. That’s why it is left out of the “history” books they foist on the schools.

      • QuinnTheEskimo9

        Our government aids, abets encourages their invasion by handing them YOUR earnings, property and wealth. They’re coming after your private retirement fund too.

      • Bossman

        You can’t have free trade without some easing of migration rules. A hundred years from now that border will become meaningless. There are books out there describing the scenario of what will happen.

        • IstvanIN

          Assuming “free” trade is a positive, yes, you can have free trade without allowing immigration. I can buy your oil and you can buy my wheat without you living in my house.

  • joesolargenius

    This is happening because they were giving hope and change promises from Obama Been Robbing and Eric Holdup that they were going to get some of the Booty being stolen from Americans

  • White Mom in WDC

    When I used to go to the parks in WDC, nearly all of the nannies were minorities: Latino, Caribbean, African, Asian, Middle Eastern, etc. When the recession hit, many of those nannies were out of work because the ‘gringa’ lost hers. Notice the states where most of the wealth in the US is concentrated is where you see lots of illegals. Class warfare by white and Jew elites. They don’t want to hire white working class people because then they’d have to pay into SSI etc, so they hire turd worlders that they can use and abuse. I remember a family on Capitol Hill fired a nanny after she fell down the stairs and broke her leg

    • Global Minority

      I would not trust a non-white with my child and some whites too. It’s your child, stay home and raise it!

    • IstvanIN

      A muddy Latina murdered two of her charges in NYC while their mom and the oldest daughter were out shopping.

  • Helios Megistos

    All the precursors for crystal meth come from China; the PLA is using Mexico as a proxy in order to poison Americans!

    • Oh, horse-hockey. As a chemist by training, there are a whole lot of ways to produce methamphetamines, from starting materials as diverse as sassafrass oil and ephedrin, both of which are natural products from plants that will grow in almost any non-arctic climate. The PRC doesn’t want you to get high. They want you to keep a steady job so you can continue buying cheap shoes and consumer electronics.

      • Helios Megistos

        “The Mexican cartels have been dominating this illicit market into
        the United States for years now. The type of precursor chemicals, their
        bulk amounts, and their origins make this a true smoking gun,” said
        Robert Bunker, a distinguished visiting professor and Minerva chair at
        the Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College.
        Bunker noted that in 2011, the Mexican navy intercepted shipments
        from Shanghai bound for Mexico that contained 30 and 70 tons of
        methylamine, pseudoephedrine, and other chemicals that are precursors
        for meth.
        Several other shipments have been seized, including in April 2012,
        when enough precursors to make $10 billion in meth were intercepted in
        Belize, heading to representatives of the Mexican drug cartel known as
        Los Zetas, from China according to China Brief, a publication of the
        Jamestown Foundation.
        “In fact, an illicit triangle trade has existed for some time now
        with Chinese industry supplying precursor chemicals, cartel labs in
        Mexico creating the product, and narcotics users in the United States
        paying hard cash for it,” Bunker said.
        According to several sources, including China Brief, the shipments
        are tied to the Chinese Triads that have been increasingly exerting
        influence over Chinese communities in the region as China’s influence
        expands in Latin America.
        Meth precursors are only part of the business for the Chinese Triads
        in Latin America, according to the China Brief report. They also traffic
        humans, narcotics, and contraband, and engage in extortion and money
        laundering.
        The nature of the Triads also ties them to the Chinese Communist
        Party back in their homeland, according to Kerry Patton, an expert on
        terrorism and intelligence, and author of “Contracted: America’s Secret
        Warriors.”

      • Helios Megistos

        “The Chinese Government owns and operates ephedra farms, where ephedra grass (ephedra sinica) is cultivated under strict government control. The active alkaloids, pseudoephedrine and ephedrine,
        are chemically extracted from the plant material and processed for
        pharmaceutical purposes. These chemicals are then sold domestically and
        for export. China and India are the major producers of these chemicals extracted from the ephedra plant. In addition to government-controlled farms, the ephedra plant grows wild in many parts of the northern areas of China.”

      • Helios Megistos

        “With its large chemical industry, China remains a source country for legitimately produced chemicals that are diverted for production of heroin and cocaine, as well as many amphetamine-type stimulants. China and its neighbor India are the leading exporters of bulk ephedrine in the world. China produces over 100,000 metric tons of acetic anhydride each year, and imports an additional 20,000 metric tons from the United States and Singapore.”
        Illegal drug trade in China
        From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

      • Helios Megistos

        Chinese Gangs Fuel Meth Scourge in US, Mexico

        Smuggled chemicals lead to violence and physical damage
        By Joshua Philipp, Epoch Times | September 12, 2013
        “… shipments of pure pseudoephedrine were coming in quantity into Mexico from China.
        “The Mexican cartels have been dominating this illicit market into
        the United States for years now. The type of precursor chemicals, their
        bulk amounts, and their origins make this a true smoking gun,” said
        Robert Bunker, a distinguished visiting professor and Minerva chair at
        the Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College.
        Bunker noted that in 2011, the Mexican navy intercepted shipments
        from Shanghai bound for Mexico that contained 30 and 70 tons of
        methylamine, pseudoephedrine, and other chemicals that are precursors
        for meth.
        Several other shipments have been seized, including in April 2012,
        when enough precursors to make $10 billion in meth were intercepted in
        Belize, heading to representatives of the Mexican drug cartel known as
        Los Zetas, from China according to China Brief, a publication of the Jamestown Foundation.
        “In fact, an illicit triangle trade has existed for some time now
        with Chinese industry supplying precursor chemicals, cartel labs in
        Mexico creating the product, and narcotics users in the United States
        paying hard cash for it,” Bunker said.
        According to several sources, including China Brief, the shipments
        are tied to the Chinese Triads that have been increasingly exerting
        influence over Chinese communities in the region as China’s influence
        expands in Latin America.
        Meth precursors are only part of the business for the Chinese Triads
        in Latin America, according to the China Brief report. They also traffic
        humans, narcotics, and contraband, and engage in extortion and money
        laundering.
        The nature of the Triads also ties them to the Chinese Communist
        Party back in their homeland, according to Kerry Patton, an expert on
        terrorism and intelligence, and author of “Contracted: America’s Secret
        Warriors.”
        The Triads work through Chinese hometown or business associations
        called “Tongs.” Some are good, some are bad, but the Chinese Communist Party actively tries to bring them into its fold, and maintains control or influence over many, according to Patton.”

  • Keep Honkin I’m Reloading

    They can at least double that number.

    • QuinnTheEskimo9

      I’ve heard credible reports that there are 50 million illegal colonists in the U.S., not the “12 million” the U.S. government has been telling us for the past 20 years.
      They’re a bunch of liars, just like the ones that wrote this report. The government doesn’t want us to know how many of them there are and how few of us are left. Keep the sheeple placated, sedated and happy so they’ll turn over their earnings and wealth to foreign invaders.

      • Keep Honkin I’m Reloading

        bingo

        Apathy and ignorance is the lifeblood of the ruling elite.

  • Greg Thomas

    Isn’t that the truth!

  • IExpatinWarsawO

    “unauthorized immigrant”; is this another pc term? Call like it is, illegal foreigner or foreign
    trespasser, all of them guilty of unlawful entry into the U.S., and and of course, potential Democrats.

    • Bossman

      Undocumented migrant worker is the best term.

      • DudeWheresMyCountry?

        Illegal alien squatter parasite with low education and IQ is the most honest term.

      • Mark Talmont

        The premise that they are all coming to work is false. Ever heard of the MS-13? Drug cartels? Sex slave traffickers?

        The first is a killer mafia from El Salvador that has been murdering people all over the country since the 80s. “Gangland that used to be on History Channel did an episode about them; notice how they pulled that show (despite high ratings) and replaced it with tripe about pawnshops and hicks?

        The cartel operatives are all over the public lands with their operations, including national parks in California. They pollute, terrorize, and are politically protected by the media and the feds. You will never see a story about this on the national news.

        We just passed a state initiative to really crack down on sex slave trafficking which is well known to be tied to immigrant smuggling. Too bad the “sanctuary” policies in LA and SF directly defeat the implementation of this law!

        The highest unemployment rates in the U.S. (30%) are on the Mexican border in California’s Imperial county and a couple in Arizona. There is double-digit unemployment up and down California and in particular there are localities in the agricultural regions as high as 40%. What jobs are these people supposed to be coming for?

      • Try “criminal alien colonist invader”.

  • QuinnTheEskimo9

    I call BS on this report. Illegal invaders and colonists aided and abetted by the U.S. government have never stopped streaming en masse over the border. And why not? Once they get here, they get everything free while those who are forced to provide for them have been threatened into silence. Anything to destroy White America.

  • Bossman

    Thanks for the web link. I’m always interested in new ideas. The worst thing that could happen to North America is to become fragmented along racial lines. That would mean the Chinese or Russians, or others would rush in to fill the void and everybody would be worse off than before.

    • Helios Megistos

      Universalism is a fatal conceit; tribalism is a vital reality!

      • Bossman

        Jewish tribalism operate in the context of universalism. Their god is a universal god. They teach tolerance for the alien. Read the Torah carefully.

        • Mark Talmont

          How about the Talmud? And not too generous about illegal immigration into Israel are they?

          • IstvanIN

            Their opinion of us isn’t too nice. We are less than cattle to them.

    • Mark Talmont

      “To become”? Ever been to Oakland? Or San Francisco?

  • Mack0

    They smell amnesty in the air. Get in while the gettings good

  • [Guest]

    If you can count ’em, you can boot ’em out of the country.

  • WR_the_realist

    Does anybody really believe that the population of illegal immigrants ever really declined? At best we go a reduction in the rate of increase.

    • Mark Talmont

      I don’t know how anyone could come up with a credible national statistic on this. I know that in California there never was any let-up in new arrivals, though some were coming for greener pastures due to some of the resistance being put up at the state level by places like Arizona.

      All the big cities in California have “sanctuary” policies overtly rejecting cooperation with immigration enforcement, and the one-party rulers in Sacramento are determined to impose this on the entire state. I would not believe any numbers produced by any federal or state source on this matter. If the Republicans had any brains, they would be proposing that we issue “provisional visas” to enable a legitimate count of how many are actually here now before there is any discussion of “reform” (amnesty) or anything else.