Are Unauthorized Immigrants Overwhelmingly Democrats?

Eileen Patten and Mark Hugo Lopez, Pew Research, July 22, 2013

As Congress debates immigration reform, some political leaders and analysts have speculated that there will be “an electoral bonanza for Democrats” if the nation’s estimated 11.1 million unauthorized immigrantsthree quarters of whom are Hispanics–eventually are granted the right to vote.

While there’s no way of knowing if these predictions are accurate, the data provide some insights. In 2012, the Pew Research Center’s National Survey of Latinos found that among Latino immigrants who are not U.S. citizens or legal permanent residents (and therefore likely unauthorized immigrants), some 31% identify as Democrats and just 4% as Republicans. An additional 33% say they are political independents, 16% mention some other political party and 15% say they “don’t know” or refuse to answer the question.

When one takes party “leaners” into account (i.e., those who don’t say they identify with one of the major parties, but in a follow-up question say they feel closer to one party than the other), about half of unauthorized Hispanic immigrants either identify with (31%) or lean towards (23%) the Democratic Party, while about two-in-ten identify with (4%) or lean towards (15%) the Republican Party.  About a quarter (27%) do not identify with or lean towards either party.

{snip}

Topics: , , ,

Share This

We welcome comments that add information or perspective, and we encourage polite debate. If you log in with a social media account, your comment should appear immediately. If you prefer to remain anonymous, you may comment as a guest, using a name and an e-mail address of convenience. Your comment will be moderated.
  • Now that I think of it, I’ve never met an illegal alien who supports the Republican Party.
    Have any of you ever met one?

    • Jefferson

      I rarely meet a Hispanic of the Non Cuban variety that supports the Republican Party. Almost every Mexican I have met here in California supports the Kenyan in chief.

      • Sick of it

        I’ve known a few in business for themselves who voted Republican, but otherwise same thing.

    • Sick of it

      Not a single one.

    • Tom_in_Miami

      I’ve met aliens who are repulsed by the Democratic Party when they learn that the Dems support abortion at practically any stage of the pregnancy and when they’ve heard the details (gay marriage, for example) of the Democratic platform. Aliens need to be educated by conservatives before the liberals get them brainwashed.

  • bigone4u

    Most first, second, and third generation Hispanics vote Democrat. Why would the illegals betray their breathren and do anything else? Democrats say, “We will protect you from white racism and give you goodies extorted from the whites. Vote for us.” The part about white racism is a lie, but unsophisticated lettuce pickers with low IQs would see it that way.

  • Luca

    Immigrants of every stripe overwhelming vote Democratic these days. They generally come from third-world hellholes where their governments fleece the poor, eradicate the middle class and protect the rich. Once they are here for 15 minutes they find out which political party is handing the free candy; something they could never dream of in their native lands.

    • Sick of it

      The European immigrants we’re getting tend to be of the Marxist variety as well.

  • E_Pluribus_Pluribus

    According to exit poll data, on November 6, 2012:

    93 percent of African-Americans voted Democratic.
    85 percent of Muslim-Americans voted Democratic.
    73 percent of Asian Americans voted Democratic.
    71 percent of Hispanic Americans voted Democratic.
    39 percent of white Americans voted Democratic.

  • Daniel Schmuhl

    I hang around libertarian circles and while I’m sympathetic towards many of their views they have this suicidal obsession with open borders. The economist Bryan Caplan wrote a paper showing a link between libertarianism and IQ which indicates to me that we should keep out low IQ statist voters. A poll showed that only 32% of Hispanics have a positive view of capitalism compared to 55% for whites. Combined with welfare this makes me strongly against open borders.

    • Puggg

      I hang around libertarian circles and while I’m sympathetic towards many
      of their views they have this suicidal obsession with open borders.

      That’s because it involves government doing something, and the purist libertarian mind can’t allow for that. Even if not doing so means the total wipeout of any chance (slim as it is even in whites only voting bases) of libertarianism becoming a credible governing force.

      • Truthseeker

        Derbyshire wrote a great piece about that very subject. His basic thesis was that libertarianism is a quintessentially American philosophy, and people from other countries simply don’t have worldviews that would incline them toward libertarianism. Open borders would only decrease the percentage of libertarian thinkers in this country.

    • Sick of it

      Some are for open borders, others are very much opposed to it. I’m guessing that the major supporters of open borders support liberal social policies? It’s been that way in my experience.

  • sbuffalonative

    With the right outreach program, Republicans believe they can capture the Hispanic vote. This fallacy is so obvious that there must be more to their plan.
    Are they actively working to transform the US into a majority Hispanic nation?

  • Spartacus

    People who break the law usually sympathize with parties and politicians that tell them it’s ok to break the law. What’s so hard to understand ?

  • Puggg

    I can’t even understand why 4% of Hispanic illegals would be strongly Republican and 15% would lean Republican. The only reason I could think that they gave that answer is because they thought “Republican” was some Hispanic ethnic food of some sort.

    Illegal aliens are supposed to be in the shadows, but Pew Research was able to find them.

  • Do illegal hispanics even know what the terns Democrat, Republican, and Independent mean?

    My thinking tells me they just vote they way the Luis Gutierrezs of this country tell them to vote ….. since they CAN’T READ THE BALLOT.

    • Sick of it

      They have their own radio and television stations which guide them toward voting Democrat, not that Republicans haven’t advertised on them. No idea how much the illegals understand re: American politics…not that they’d care.

  • who cares? The GOP has done nothing for whites. The GOP appointed the majority of the judges on the supreme court that just refused to end affirmative action.

    The GOP is the party of the corporations. Are you rich? Then don’t vote GOP unless you are. The GOP is all for mass immigration, just like the Dems.

    At least the Dems increased the taxes on the rich a little. At least the Dems gave us some form of national healthcare. That beats what the GOP has done for us.

    • Jefferson

      National healthcare ? So you believe White taxpayers should pay for the hospital bills of Vibrant Diversity ?

    • Sick of it

      I’m more a fan of being able to purchase insurance across state lines, increasing competition and reducing rates. Having more options in individual plans would be great as well…but all of that is going out the window with Obamacare.

      • Romulus

        Americans are in for the worst sticker shock imaginable when obamacare starts to gain traction. Once the bills start rolling in, the love affair will probably end.

        • Sick of it

          The 60%+ increase in premiums is already causing sticker shock. People being downgraded to part-time employees or being fired then losing their healthcare has caused sticker shock.

  • TheTruthHurts3

    Illegal immigrants want free stuff that we pay for.

  • Sick of it

    Look at politics in India…they fit right into the DNC. East Asians from Communist countries probably feel at home there as well. We can’t talk about the J word or the forums might explode.

  • E_Pluribus_Pluribus

    For Asians, Democrats offer the best opportunity for bring more of their compatriots to the U. S. — legally and illegally — thus expanding their presence and politcal clout as an ethnocentric group.

    For Jews, Democrats offer the best opportunity for promoting multiculturalism/cultural pluralism as national ideals, which many associate with greater security for Jews as opposed to life in all-white, or nearly all-white states.

  • IKantunderstand

    Oh please, this is a joke. There is no way in hell that illegal immigrants would ever be Republicans. Period. I hate the Republicans, but you have to admit they are associated with White people and success. The Democrats on the other hand, are associated with social pathology, stupidity, and loserhood. Why wouldn’t Mexicans identify with the Democratic party? Perfect match.

  • Romulus

    This shouldnt come as a surprise to anyone! Everyone whos had their turn at the bottom of the ladder almost always votes democratic. The difference now being 33million illegal foreign hispanics. By proxy invasion,the southwest has returned to mexico,just as if they annexed it. All thats left do do now is move the border. Austin,Houston and all our dishonored dead from the alamo and san jacinto are rolling in their graves!

  • David Ashton

    The capitalists get the cheap labor, the communists get the cannon fodder.
    The patriotic white taxpayer picks up the social bills.

    Simples.

  • Randall Ward

    I worked around and had illegals for friends for 45 years. They don’t even know the diff between dem or rep, and don’t care. They want to make money and have a good time. Oh yes; they do want most of the USA to be “returned” to Mexico.
    In 1836 when Texas won independence by fighting the Mexican army, there were 20,000 Comanche Indians, 20,000 Anglos, and 4,500 Mexicans in Texas. Mexico had not been able to settle Texas in 200 years of attempts. It took Anglos to settle it.

    • Sick of it

      Yet you’ll find plenty of low information voters who insist that we stole the land from its rightful inhabitants. Texas was sparsely settled. California was sparsely settled. New Mexico may have had a sizable community – Yet the descendants of the locals are Americans today.

    • Luca

      Aside from Texas, we also bought the remaining land they complain about in the Treaty of Guadalupe Hildalgo and then the Gadsden Purchase. They have no case on this issue only baseless grievances, encouraged by propaganda..

      • MBlanc46

        The Gadsden Purchase was a purchase. But Guadalupe Hidalgo was a treaty forced on a defeated nation. It’s hard to not sign while your capital is being occupied.

        • Luca

          Considering that this was at the cessation of a war they lost, considering that there were negotiations and considering that they were paid something, I would say that is a hell of a lot better than being told the only terms were unconditional surrender.

          • MBlanc46

            I suppose so, but I’d sure hate to have to sell my house under those conditions.

  • WR_the_realist

    Duh. Do you really think that 100% of the Democratic senators would have voted for the illegal alien amnesty bill if they hadn’t known that the great majority of illegal aliens would vote for Democrats once made citizens? As for the Republicans, they are called The Stupid Party for good reasons. They don’t care if their party commits suicide as long as their paymasters get cheap labor.

  • John Smith

    …well, until the national debt soars past $50 trillion and the dollar crashes as the rest of the world dumps it and rating agencies downgrade the U.S. to around a C-. Then hyper inflation, riots, famine, etc… sets in. Will they just print money until a wheelbarrow full of thousand dollar notes is worth less than the wheelbarrow or figure out their ideology doesn’t work and engage in the sweeping reforms we should be implementing right now? Stay tuned. We’ll know in about fifteen years.