With Fewer New Arrivals, Census Lowers Hispanic Population Projections

Jens Manuel Krogstad, Pew Research, December 16, 2014

The Hispanic population is expected to reach about 106 million in 2050, about double what it is today, according to new U.S. Census Bureau population projections. But the new Hispanic population projection for 2050 is lower–by nearly 30 million–than earlier population projections published by the bureau.

The nation’s Hispanic population has been one of its fastest growing in recent decades. Since 1970, the Hispanic population has grown 592%, largely because of the arrival of new immigrants from Latin America–especially Mexico. By comparison, the U.S. population overall has grown 56% over the same period. Between 2000 and 2010 alone, Hispanics made up more than half of U.S. population growth.



What caused 2050’s projected Hispanic population to decline? Toward the end of the 2000s, immigration from Latin America began to stagnate. The growth in the number of Latino immigrants began to stall in 2008. Since then, Asians have been the single largest group of new immigrants arriving in the U.S.

The Census Bureau now projects the Hispanic immigrant population to grow by 57% from 2015 to 2050. That’s lower than a 2008 Pew Research Center projection that had estimated 91% growth over the same period.


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  • Easyrhino

    Considering that virtually anyone can, and does, simply stroll across the southern border of the USA (despite that we’re told there’s a war on terror) without getting their non-existent passport stamped how the hell can any federal agency accurately determine the population of Hispanics?

    • Pathfinder75

      Magic 8-Ball?

    • Mary

      They can’t. Probably just more controlled information to placate many Americans’ growing sense of unease regarding our demographic future. “See, it’s not so bad. We’re not being inundated. Their numbers will be less than originally thought. America will be all right. Go back to sleep.”

      • Ringo Lennon

        Yeah only 11 million illegals, right?

        • Who Me?

          Funny, I’ve been hearing that 11 million number since 1982, and they’ve been galloping across the border by the hundreds or thousands every day and night since, and it’s still 11 million?

        • Garrett Brown

          Roughly around 30 million in all seriousness.

          • Ringo Lennon

            More than that.

          • Garrett Brown


        • ElComadreja

          I’ll wager we have that many in the northeast alone.

          • Ringo Lennon

            California alone has that much.

  • MekongDelta69

    This is what passes for good news?

  • Pathfinder75

    I don’t know about the veracity of these projections,but I do believe that we truly can reduce the expected growth in the numbers of Hispanics in our country if we had politicians courageous enough to end mass immigration,abolish so-called “Birthright Citizenship,and begin a serious campaign of enacting a. Border security policy predicated on a policy of “attritionthrough enforcement”.But what politician,besides the great Jeff Sessions from Alabama,has the courage to stand up in honorable defense of the average American citizen?

    • Juggernaut3000

      I would add making birth control a condition of receiving welfare. Those on welfare more than five years, permanent sterilization.

      Hispanics are fast breeding a new, massive dependent class.

      • Pathfinder75

        “making birth control a condition of receiving welfare.”

        I would much more prefer making surgical sterilization a necessary precondition to receiving welfare instead of using birth control pills to reduce their numbers.

  • pcmustgo

    HERE’S SOME GOOD NEWS- MEXICO’S POPULATION IS SHRINKING… the women there are only having, on average, about 2 kids, unlike Mexican-Americans who probably have an average of 4. So eventually, Mexico will run out of immigrants to send up our way… hopefully.

    • 1stworlder

      No white taxpayers to pay for their feeding.

      • Latino Nationalist

        Birth control! In other words people are moving away from the Catholic Church.

    • John R

      As John Wayne would say: “That’ll be the day.”
      (from The Searchers)

    • FinnShane

      I foresee in the future (when America is completely in the toilet) Mexico building strong border security to keep greedy entitled Mexican Americans from sneaking across the border.

      • ElComadreja

        Not so far fetched. These countries are exporting their most undesirable elements.

    • Greg Thomas

      Just proves once again that America is mexico’s welfare system!

  • Reynardine

    Oh god, you guys, this isn’t good. Remove ALL border control. We must meet the projection!

    • Juggernaut3000

      What border control?

      • Reynardine

        The thing we pretend that exists on the border, of course. We should just stop pretending at this point.

      • UnCL3

        The new INVISIBLE Border Patrol.
        Less effective.
        Less expensive.
        More Politically Correct.

  • Yves Vannes

    These A-Holes have no clue. Trying to count 20,000,000 illegals with 100 head counters is asinine.

  • willbest

    You know, if people were fishes, every liberal in the country would be screaming about Hispanics as if they were asian carp.

  • Juggernaut3000

    I don’t believe a word coming out of the Pew Center.

    This is one of many reports used to soothe and placate the White population to divert our attention away from the fact that we are being racially dispossessed in our own land, of our own land.

    • ElComadreja

      Blacks were too dumb to get the job done so they’ve turned to mestizo and Indian filth to finish us off.

  • Da Troof

    Yeah, being 98% screwed feels a lot better than being 99% screwed.

  • LHathaway

    You may be undercounting Asians moving to American to study and or get jobs as much as they are undercounting illegals. Wait, some of the Asians are ‘illegals’ too that just never go home when their visa’s expire. .