Up to a third of the population will be black or from another ethnic minority by 2050, new research forecasts today.

There are currently eight million non-white people–14% of the total–across England and Wales, according to the study by the Tory think tank Policy Exchange.

But the so-called BME (black and minority ethnic) population has doubled in the past decade and now accounts for 80% of growth while the white population has remained constant.

While ethnic minorities make up just 5% of the over-60s, they account for a quarter of under fives.

That means between 20% and 30% of people will be black or ethnic minority by the middle of the century.

And it is a time bomb for the Tories who struggle to win votes from BME communities which overwhelmingly back Labour.

The findings should act as a wake-up call for politicians to stop treating people from non-white backgrounds as one, single group, the think tank said.

Since the Second World War immigration from the Caribbean , the Indian subcontinent and Africa has produced in diverse groups with widely differing opinions, experiences and traditions, it said.

There are “clear and meaningful differences between each of these communities which need to be fully understood” but politicians are not doing that, the report says.

Author Rishi Sunak said: “These communities will continue to become an ever more significant part of Britain, especially in future elections.

“However, as our research demonstrates ethnic minorities are not one homogeneous political group.

“From education to employment, housing to trust in the police, politicians from all parties must understand the different issues affecting individual communities.”

The research draws on survey, census, academic and polling data to build up a detailed picture of the five largest minority groups in the UK – Indian, Pakistani, Bangladeshi, Black African and Black Caribbean.

With the exception of those from an African background a majority of non-white Britons describe themselves as “British-only”, the report said.

BME communities also overwhelmingly support the Labour Party “regardless of class or association with Conservative policies”.

Some 68% voted for Gordon Brown’s party at the 21010 General Election, compared with 16% for the Conservatives and 14% for the Liberal Democrats.

Last month Adam Afriyie, the first black Tory MP and once touted as a future party leader, said the Conservatives will not be able to completely detoxify its brand in the eyes of ethnic minority voters in time for next year’s general election.

He admitted that even if Prime Minister David Cameron “does everything perfectly” in the run up to the 2015 General Election, the party’s lack of support among minorities will persist.

But Mr Afriyie said the party would be making a mistake if it changed its policies to suit individual groups in a “political gamble” for more popularity.

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  • dd121

    I was in London 40 years ago and 1 month ago. A lot has changed.

    • So CAL Snowman

      Hell I was in London on a school trip during the ’96 Euro cup and London was a sea of White faces.

      • obot

        That’s why socialism is evil. They use the Arabs and blacks as a battering ram to destroy Western civilization. It’s the same all around the white world.

      • 1stworlder

        I was in London in the 90s and wondered why the US couldn’t have nice litter free cities. Now I know.

  • Ahnenerbe

    God Bless the Queen! (of the mongrels)

  • Urbane Neanderthal

    This is one of those things that will not end well.

  • David Ashton

    Pending a close analysis of this report and others in my proposed book “The Murder of England”, I thought you would recognize the implications of the following headline in “The Sun”, May 6, on ethnic groups allegedly being the key to winning elections: “RULING BY MINORITY”.

    Despite Farage announcing “a lot of black, ethnic minority candidates” and another purge of supporters with “anti-gay” or “racist” views”, to “show the world” that UKIP is a “diverse” party, the Conservative “Daily Telegraph” comments that the “tone” of the UKIP campaign is “entirely at odds” with the “inclusive” picture painted by this think-tank closely linked to the Conservative Party leadership.

    More in tune with actual public sentiment, the “Daily Express” editorializes against the “settling, swelling and changing the face of entire regions” and concludes: “Britain [really, England] is losing its identity week by week”.

  • So CAL Snowman

    “Since the Second World War immigration from the Caribbean , the Indian
    subcontinent and Africa has produced in diverse groups with widely
    differing opinions, experiences and traditions, it said.”

    World War 2 may very well be the White race’s “extinction event” much like the alleged asteroid that killed the dinosaurs. No the impact of the asteroid in the Yucatan Peninsula did not instantly kill off all of the dinosaurs, but the after math of the asteroid’s impact did.

    • IstvanIN

      Yes you may be right, the coup de grace, and we did it to ourselves.

  • JohnEngelman

    Those who think this is a good idea should read Nicholas Wade’s A Troublesome Inheritance.

  • JSS

    From world empire to 4th world toilet bowl famous for female genital mutilation and gang rape. Good job Churchill.

    • Singh1699

      Lol, the Singhs destroyed Britain by not helping it control India anymore. 😛

      ਖਾਲਿਸਤਾਨ ਜ਼ਿੰਦਾਬਾਦ | ਵਾਹਿਗੁਰੂ ਜੀ ਕਾ ਖਾਲਸਾ | ਵਾਹਿਗੁਰੂ ਜੀ ਕੀ ਫਤਹਿ | |

  • cecilhenry

    Well that’s called Genocide and heads need to roll for it.

  • What percent must be thurd world before you get a thurd world country? The USA did OK with 90percent white, but is doing horribly with two-thirds white. Britain will sink like the US has, while the whites will shake their heads and ask, “What happened?” What happened is you betrayed your posterity with your foolish embrace of multiculturalism. If you can, you Brits need to try to take back your country. If it’s not too late.

  • Bossman

    Most British non-whites would emigrate if they could find a better place. Most of them would like to come to North America.

    • Magician

      The welfare system only for refugees in U.K. is extremely generous.


      “Somali asylum seeker family given £2m house… after complaining 5-bed London home was ‘in poor area'”

      £2m is $3.4M USD and our American govenrments are not that insane just yet. (but getting there.)

  • KevinPhillipsBong

    When will we have our first chav PM?

    • Kenner

      I thought ‘chav’ meant white trash– ?

  • IstvanIN

    The sad thing is the UK had all the diversity it needed: English, Welsh, Scots, Irish, Anglicans, Presbyterians, Roman Catholics, Baptists…..

    • obot

      Plus all the Normans, Angles, and Saxons

      • IstvanIN

        I was referring to 20th century Britain. We needn’t go back too far.

    • LHathaway

      Blondes, brunettes, redheads

  • rasher223

    Black and muslim.

    I can’t think of a worse replacement demographic.

    God speed to you all.

    • Magician

      Force all those wonderful Jewish people to allow their daughters marry black muslim men who will force her to wear a garbage bag for the rest of her life, beat her up once a week, and basically make her serve him as if he is her master and she is his servant!

  • LHathaway

    I see. . . immigrants of color have colonized England and are on course to becoming a majority there, leaving whites a minority. Since only 5% of those are over 60 are colored yet 25% of those under 5 are. . . only a miracle could prevent whites from becoming minority in England.

    They’ve found something to be upset about in all this, however, conservatives and THEIR toxic and unappealing influence.

    • 1stworlder

      Maybe another Enoch Powell will take care of things

  • Garrett Brown

    Don’t have white daughters in the UK.

    • Magician

      Yes UK is basically black men’s paradise with all white British women throwing themselves at them, and governments cannot wait to fill their bank accounts with insane amounts of free money every month for the rest of their lives.

      But UK white women rarely, if ever, date East Asian men. White UK men love and always go after East Asian women and Pacific Islander women, just as much as white UK women have a thing for black men and brown men. It is even easier for the black and brown men to score with UK white women if they are refugees from wartorn countries or recent immigrants from very poor countries. If any East Asian guy does truly want to date a white woman he has a better chance in other parts of Europe outside U.K.

      U.K. is the type of a country where there is a massive praise if a male celebrity publicly states his sexual preference is not heterosexual…..

    • LHathaway

      It will be white sons who will be aborted. To tell the truth, it’s insane parents haven’t started doing this already. Everyone is living in a dream land and not facing reality. Do people even have parents these day? By all evidence they do not. At least not responsible ones.

  • The Elderking

    We were never asked. Mass immigration and multiculturalism was IMPOSED upon the British people. Now all we have is crime, terrorism and religious barbarism.

    All this has been a genocidal plan by the political class in the UK, the EU and, yes, in America.

    The time to rise up and reclaim our lands, culture and people is fast approaching.

    • LHathaway

      It’s great to hear this full speech! Is this Enoch Powell’s voice or a voice actor reading it?

  • Pro_Whitey

    Wow, good thing the Brits fought off that Natzee invasion.

    • Einsatzgrenadier

      Hitler’s defeat in WWII was a catastrophe for Europe and the white race.

    • Magician

      I neither completely agree nor completely disagree with the Nazi army.

      Is having a great self-respect good? Yes, but we can be confident in ourselves, and respect our own men and women, without murdering millions of people.
      The Nazi army also murdered many white Christians and pastors. Dietrich Bonhoeffer, a German pastor, was martyred because of his Christian faith and attempt to stop the Nazi army from the senseless mass murder.

      And the Nazi army also attempted to invade and take over Russia, which is a white country. Do you think Hitler was honestly planning to invade Russia without murdering or attacking any white Russian person who invaded?

      • Pro_Whitey

        I don’t mean to stick up for Nazis. It’s just a kick in the gut that the Brits spent so much blood and treasure not to be occupied by white people, only to have their descendants give up the country to a bunch that I frankly think, if left unchecked, will make the Nazis look like Quakers.

      • 1stworlder

        Patton was killed days after saying we fought the wrong enemy in WWII. The Jewish Bolsheviks that killed 65 million white Russian Christians in the Holodomor where not who we should have fought for.

  • Magician

    This is just…. wow


  • Sun

    This is really depressing. Not to mention, this article has a lo of bias.