How Many New Voters Would S.744 Create?

Steven A. Camarota, Center for Immigration Studies, October 2013

Based on projections published by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), we estimate that if S.744 were to become law it will add more than 17 million new potential voting-age citizens by 2036. These new potential voters are in addition to the nearly 15 million that the current level of legal immigration will add by 2036. Combined, current immigration plus the effects of S.744 would add more than 32 million potential new voting-age citizens by 2036. To place these figures in perspective, the last four presidential elections were decided by 4.5 million votes on average.

Among the report’s findings:

  • Based on the CBO’s analysis of S.744, we project that the bill will add 4.6 million new potential voters above the number added by the current level of legal immigration by 2024. The bill would add 9.5 million potential voters by 2028 and 17.3 million by 2036.
  • Of the new potential voters S.744 would create by 2036, slightly more than one-third would be a result of the bill’s amnesty provisions based on CBO projections, the rest are due to the bill’s large increases in future legal immigration.
  • Even without the effects of S.744, the current level of immigration will add 5.1 million new potential voting-age citizens to the country by 2024, 8.4 million by 2028, and 14.9 million by 2036.
  • Combined, the current level of immigration plus the additions from S.744 would create nearly 10 million potential voting-age citizens by 2024, and more than 32 million by 2036.
  • The 32 million potential voters current immigration plus S.744 will create is slightly larger than the number of Americans over age 65 who voted in 2012. It is more than twice the number of veterans who voted in 2012, and nearly three times the number of Hispanics who voted last year.
  • For legal permanent immigrants to be potential voters they must be at least 18 years old and have lived in the country for at least five years, allowing them to naturalize. For most amnesty beneficiaries under S.744, it will take at least a decade for them to naturalize.
  • These projections are only for potential immigrant voters, not their U.S.-born children. The projections take into account deaths, return-migration, and residency requirements to naturalize. We do not estimate the share that will actually naturalize and vote once eligible to do so.

{snip}

The Combined Impact. Adding the numbers from S.744 to the number from current immigration means that future immigration, and the legalization provisions of S.744, would create 9.7 million potential new voters by 2024, 17.9 million by 2028, 25 million by 2032, and 32.2 million by 2036. None of the results in the figure should be too surprising. The current level of immigration is already very high. In addition, S.744 offers legal status to millions of illegal immigrants and dramatically increases the level of legal immigration in the future. Although it has not received much attention during the current debate, these projections demonstrate that one of the biggest and unavoidable potential effects of immigration generally and S.744 in particular is a steady and profound remaking of the political landscape.

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  • Personally I think they’re being too conservative, i.e. underestimating, the numbers.

    Will this deter the RINO-Republican establishment? No. They’re trying to find some way to haul the cheap labor Hispanics in to satisfy their paymasters while not allowing them to vote so they don’t elect Democrats.

    • Alfred the Great

      In addition, they are trying to create a country that is totally mixed race. ALL of the Bushs are of this internationalist mold. The establishment republican party is full of these idiots.

      • Sick of it

        A world that is totally mixed race. That’s part of the end game.

        • DLRisVH

          But who wins?

    • Jesse James

      Ann Coulter is right about this issue, if we don’t defeat amnesty and reduce immigration into this country nothing else we care about will matter because we will be deluged and swept away at the polls.

      • Spartacus

        Secession is an alternative…

        • Jesse James

          I think disintegration is more likely.

    • kjh64

      Yep, you’re right. How about the real number, likely 35-40 million.

    • Sheik Yerbouti

      This is exactly why white Americans have to work together to remove the profit from cheap labor.

  • D.B. Cooper

    I say settle them in Vermont and Massachusetts.

    • Oil Can Harry

      I say settle them in Antarctica.

    • Jesse James

      I say settle them in their countries of origin, their own people need their talents and vitality.

      • D.B. Cooper

        That won’t work unless our Clntonish, Ginsburgian, Sean Penn liberals get booted along with these refugees.

        • DonReynolds

          Sounds like a good deal to me.

        • Jesse James

          Somebody needs to go along and provide leadership. I think these folks would do a fine job!

  • Erasmus

    Break the country up. For your average tax-paying citizen, there is no good reason to continue to keep it together.

    Let the democrats have their welfare moms and illegal aliens and they can enjoy their open-borders, socialized medicine, diversity and affirmative-action plagued paradise to their hearts’ content. The rest of us can form a republic still dedicated to the rule of law, personal responsibility and initiative.

    The sole reason, anyway, the democrats want conservatives to stick around is for someone to continue to pay for Dontavious’s and Shaqwana’s welfare. Let them start paying for all that diversity, which they’re always celebrating.

    • D.B. Cooper

      I keep saying it over and over again. You can secede, but if you have too many liberals, they will merely invite the third world and San Francisco scum to “seek a better life” in your new nation.

      • Erasmus

        Which is why from the outset we have to make certain the lefties want to belong to Kennedyland, Obamania or whatever else they want to call their progressive “paradise”.

        Plus, who says the split has to be completely peaceful? Ideally it would be, but as things now stand, the one-worlders and other lefties are going to make sure the future United States, as it geographically now is, will be just another 3rd world dung heap, like Brazil but with a temperate climate. So, although I abhor the thought of violence, I see that the way things now are, eventual violence will occur. So, why not recognize it as the price that has to be paid for freedom?

        I’m not trying to incite insurrection, but our split could be like India and Pakistan, not completely peaceful by any means but without outright civil war, and we need to recognize that our current batch of leaders are leading us down the road to slavery.

      • Sick of it

        You should know darn well that a new Southern nation would expel liberals. Why would we accept any of them when they’re the reason we would have seceded in the first place?

  • So CAL Snowman

    “Based on projections published by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO),
    we estimate that if S.744 were to become law it will add more than 17
    million new potential voting-age citizens by 2036.”

    Based on my projections there won’t be a USA in 2036 . . .

  • So CAL Snowman

    Does it really matter?

    • DonReynolds

      I agree. Once this country is invaded, overrun, and occupied by foreign scum, I really do not give a rat’s hinnie who gets elected president.

  • DonReynolds

    They forgot to mention…..these would be 17 million more instant Democrats.

  • bigone4u

    The economic implications of the addition of 32 million parasites to the voting roles is staggering. Start with the collapse of the dollar (and the value of your retirement account) and work from there. Welcome to Poverty Row, White Middle-Class America. The Democrat coalition of blacks, Mexicans, gays, lesbians, and feminists will create a MONSTER economy and culture. But hey, everyone will be “equal.” Equally poor and equally mentally ill.

    • kjh64

      Gays, lesbians and feminists can help create the economy just fine as long as they are White and hold the views that a society should remain White. It’s the rest that will sink the economy or those White gays/feminists/men who don’t believe that a society should be White that will sink the economy

      • bigone4u

        Disagree, but I gave you an upvote anyway. Lesbians, at least, have admitted that the goal is to DESTROY the traditional family and traditional marriage. The FAMILY is the bedrock of the economy. Without it, whites are likely to become welfare leeches like blacks. Besides, I don’t know any gays or lesbians who are white nationalists. They probably exist, but are rare.

  • Spartacus

    Secede ! Now ! You’re gonna have to eventually, the sooner you do it, the fewer White corpses .

  • kjh64

    New voters? Oh please. These illegals are ALREADY voting, hello people!!!!!!

    • emiledurk16

      That’s absolutely true!

      Hence the liberal, traitorous resistance to voter ID laws.

  • WR_the_realist

    90% of those new voters will vote Democratic. That’s why the Democrats are the ones most eager to pass that bill. As for John McCain, Lindsey Graham, and other Republican advocates of the bill … they don’t call Republicans The Stupid Party for nothing. The Democrats are evil but stupid, no.

  • Luca

    The anchor babies alone are going to do us in by then anyway.

    I hope my aim is just as steady as it is today, if I’m still around.

  • Lewis33

    15 million legally under current laws by 2036? This bloated tick will sure pop with those numbers alone…dig a hole boys, this goose is cooked.

  • DLRisVH

    In the end who wins? Do the white democRATS really think they will continue to win elections when they are running against a candidate of color?

    • NordicHeritage

      Every election is a sort of advance auction sale of stolen goods.

      H. L. Mencken

  • DLRisVH

    Republican? I think GW was the last White male we’ll ever see in the white house.

  • Sick of it

    In the future, to prevent ethnic affiliations, they will mix everyone together. When you think about it logically, it makes sense. Ethnic affiliation is the foundation of any nationalist movement and therefore a threat to the power of the elites.

  • NordicHeritage

    Isn’t unfettered capitalism the greatest? While average Americans are barely making it, the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. All the while rich billionaires have convinced a large swath of poor folks that if only the rich weren’t taxed that they would have jobs. Now that’s what i call a great con job.

    • laughnow

      its called capitalism. Get over it.

      • NordicHeritage

        And you are drinking the capitalism kool aid, get over yourself.

  • NordicHeritage

    Remember, democracy never lasts long. It soon wastes, exhausts, and murders itself. There never was a democracy yet that did not commit suicide.

    John Adams

  • LIBERTYSINCURSION

    It looks to me like the people holding the reins of power in our government can’t give this country away fast enough. And it’s not just the self hating liberals who’re so eager to rip from the hands of our very own children, the ability to control their own future. Only to place that power into the hands of those who are taught in our very own schools to hate them. No it’s not just the die hard liberals, it’s pretty much the entire Democratic party. Even worse, is the fact that a good 60 to 70% of the Republican party seem to believe that race is of little importance when it comes to the make up of a nation’s citizenry.

    As we all know, nothing could be further from the truth. The racial and ethnic make up of Detroit from the early 1900’s to the mid 1960’s. Produced the Detroit seen from the early 1900’s to the mid 1960’s. While the racial and ethnic make up of Detroit from the mid 1960’s to present day Detroit. Produced the Detroit seen from the mid 1960’s to present day Detroit. Whether people want to admit it or not, the fact is that demographics really is destiny. Pat Buchanan was right when he said that we are witnessing the suicide of a super power. However, it’s not just a suicide we are witnessing, we are also witnessing the whole sale executions of our children’s very futures.

  • bubo

    Nobody saw the Soviet Union’s dissolution coming. Ours will happen in much the same way. Federal control would cease to exist and the states regain autonomous control. Then we would eventually see bands of states form smaller unions for economic stability.

  • David Ashton

    To use a British metaphor, instead of just rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic, the crew is now selling them to one another.

  • David Ashton

    Why?

  • emiledurk16

    That is the truth articulated very well.

  • Hunter Morrow

    I thought to myself…

    “Hmm, congressional legislation that looks to be tremendously damaging to the White race?
    I wonder who the authors and sponsors of this bill are?”

    Mr. Chuck SCHUMER. That is weird. Why would somebody of Jewish “ethnicity” propose a bill that would hurt the White race so badly? I don’t understand. Jews must be White.
    I mean, they look White to Jared Taylor and I, so I don’t understand why they hurt the White race so much. Could somebody help me out why so much odious legislation that hurts the White race is penned by and proposed by and voted for by people of Jewish “ethnicity?”