Posted on December 12, 2012

Did the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) Lead to Risky Lending?

Sumit Agarwal et al., National Bureau of Economic Research, December 2012


Yes, it did. We use exogenous variation in banks’ incentives to conform to the standards of the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) around regulatory exam dates to trace out the effect of the CRA on lending activity. Our empirical strategy compares lending behavior of banks undergoing CRA exams within a given census tract in a given month to the behavior of banks operating in the same census tract-month that do not face these exams. We find that adherence to the act led to riskier lending by banks: in the six quarters surrounding the CRA exams lending is elevated on average by about 5 percent every quarter and loans in these quarters default by about 15 percent more often. These patterns are accentuated in CRA-eligible census tracts and are concentrated among large banks. The effects are strongest during the time period when the market for private securitization was booming.

[Editor’s Note: Previous studies have contradicted this view, so this paper is particularly significant. In the full version of the paper (available with an institution download at the original article link below), the authors note that the above estimates are lower bounds to the actual impact of the CRA.]