Obama Performance with White Voters on Par with Other Democrats

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News, November 19, 2012

Expanding on our election autopsy report in First Thoughts this morning about the white vote, since 1976, Democrats have never won white voters. {snip}

{snip}

WHITE VOTE IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS

2012: 72% of electorate, Romney 59, Obama 39

2008: 74% of electorate, McCain 55, Obama 43

2004: 77% of electorate, Bush 58, Kerry 41

2000: 81% of electorate, Bush 55, Gore 42

1996: 83% of electorate, Dole 46, Clinton 44 (Perot 9)

1992: 87% of electorate, Bush 41, Clinton 39 (Perot 21)

1988: 85% of electorate, Bush 60, Dukakis 40

1984: 86% of electorate, Reagan 66, Mondale 34

1980: 88% of electorate, Reagan 56, Carter 36 (Anderson 8)

1976: 89% of electorate, Ford 52, Carter 48

AVERAGE DEMOCRATIC WHITE VOTE SHARE: 40.6%

TOP DEMOCRATIC WHITE-VOTE GETTERS IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS

1. Carter (1976)—48%

2. Clinton (1996)—44

3. Obama (2008)—43

4. Gore—42

5. Kerry—41

6. Dukakis—40

7. Clinton(1992)—39

7. Obama (2012)—39

9. Carter (1980)—36

10. Mondale—34

SOURCE: Exit polls/Roper Center, University of Connecticut

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