Fewer Immigrants Are Entering the U.S. Illegally

Jerry Markon, Washington Post, May 27, 2015

Monica Camacho-Perez came to the United States from Mexico as a child, crossing into Arizona with her mother in the same spot where her father made the trip before them. “Nobody stopped us,’’ Camacho-Perez, now 20, said of her 2002 journey.

Three years ago, her uncle tried to cross the border and join the family in Baltimore, where they remain illegal immigrants. He was stopped three times by the U.S. Border Patrol and jailed for 50 days.

“He doesn’t want to try anymore,” said Camacho-Perez. “Now, it’s really hard.”

As the Department of Homeland Security continues to pour money into border security, evidence is emerging that illegal immigration flows have fallen to their lowest level in at least two decades. The nation’s population of illegal immigrants, which more than tripled, to 12.2 million, between 1990 and 2007, has dropped by about 1 million, according to demographers at the Pew Research Center.

A key–but largely overlooked–sign of these ebbing flows is the changing makeup of the undocumented population. Until recent years, illegal immigrants tended to be young men streaming across the Southern border in pursuit of work. But demographic data show that the typical illegal immigrant now is much more likely someone who is 35 or older and has lived in the United States for a decade or more.

Homeland security officials in the Obama and George W. Bush administrations–who have more than doubled the Border Patrol’s size and spent billions on drones, sensors and other technology at the border–say enhanced security is driving the new trends.

{snip}

What’s increasingly clear is that the shifting fortunes of the U.S. economy account for less of the ebb and flow of illegal immigration. Even as the economy bounces back from recession, illegal immigration flows, especially from Mexico, have kept declining, ­according to researchers and government data. Since the 1990s, the opposite was true: The better the economy, the more people tried to come.

{snip}

Some researchers say factors other than security are playing a role and might even account for much of the reduced flow of illegal immigrants. These researchers point, for instance, to changes in Latin America that could be pushing fewer people to seek a better life in the United States.

At odds with the government’s claims of success, a series of academic studies in recent years have found little linkage between border security and illegal migration.

Douglas S. Massey, a Princeton University sociologist, said the falling numbers of immigrants have “nothing to do with border enforcement.” Massey, who helps run a project that has interviewed thousands of illegal Mexican migrants over the past three decades, attributed the trend to demographic changes in Mexico, such as women having fewer children.

{snip}

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  • DelmarJackson

    I read an article last year that the Obama administration had altered the issuance of visas in Mexico so as to reduce the need for illgals to cross the border, they only need apply to the embassy for new and expedited visas allowing almost anyone and everyone to come. That would account for a reduction in illegals if the legals were increasing, and since the article makes no mention of any increase or decrease in legal immigration the omission may be proof enough in current times.

    • Also remember that a big percentage, if not a majority, of illegal aliens, didn’t cross over or arrive illegally. They came legally with legal visas then overstayed them.

    • Bossman

      If the article that you read is true, then it would be one way to decrease illegal entry from Mexico. They need to be treated as fellow North Americans.

      • WR_the_realist

        There is no such nationality as North American. There is Canadian, American, and Mexican.

      • ghettovalley

        Mexicans drive down wages for everyone else. This is because they’ll work for a few dollars an hour. They also do not pay taxes, and use social services that they’ve never paid into. Not to mention the fact that every majority Mexican/South American neighborhood in the country is filthy, infested with drugs, and extremely dangerous. How can you seriously say with a straight face that hoardes of low IQ Mexicans who take our jobs and reproduce like they’ve never heard about condoms is a net gain for America? You’re either absolutely crazy, or you’re intentionally lying.

        • Bossman

          If they so low IQ, how can they take away your job?

          • By at least being smarter than you, Bossman.

          • sl

            Who says they do just as good a job?

          • ghettovalley

            They most definitely aren’t going to take my job. The same can’t be said for millions of other Americans, though. Those who work in the service industry, landscaping, construction… These jobs don’t require a genius to perform, but they’re being taken by hispanics willing to do them for less than the federal minimum wage every day.

        • KC

          Id still rather live among mexicans, than blacks. Plus, ive lived in neighborhoods in NV and VA dominated by one or the other, so i have a first hand perspective. I choose to live among whites, in predominately white neighboorhoods, not because all white people are better, but because in general, there are less undesireables.

      • Fellow North Americans? What the F*** is that supposed to mean? “North American” is a geographical term only. It does not denote a nationality, a race, an ethnic group, or anything else in common. It is one of those leftist ideas, like “fellow human.”

    • WR_the_realist

      NEVER trust the mainstream media to give you the real story.

  • “Join the family in Baltimore”

    Considering recent circumstances, he should be happy that he didn’t make it.

    Otherwise, I think this article is mostly propaganda, to fool us into thinking that there is all this enforcement going on and a lot of illegal immigration being prevented by it. All to butter us up to quit resisting the amnesty agenda.

  • If this is even remotely true, it is likely because summer is fast approaching, and the weather on the border is heating up. The other thing heating up is Mexico’s narco war, which would make travelling the northern Mexican states really unappealing.

    • listenupbub

      Yes, the narco war is going crazy.

  • MekongDelta69

    I don’t believe a damn thing the gummint says.

    Zip, zero, ‘nada’.

    • Chip Carver

      This story is a bald-faced lie. Without a doubt.

    • JohnEngelman

      The government provides the most reliable statistics. If you do not accept those statistics you are beyond the range of rational debate. You believe what you want to believe, and disbelieve the rest.

      • MekongDelta69

        If you actually believe in this government the way it’s being run by NoBama, I feel sorry for you.

        • JohnEngelman

          I detect symptoms of Obama Derangement Disorder.

          • WR_the_realist

            Obama Derangement Disorder is caused by Obama.

          • MekongDelta69

            I’m hardly the one who’s deranged…

      • WR_the_realist

        Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha.
        Mass media lies.
        Government lies.
        Big Business lies.

        Only a Democrat would think the first two don’t. How’d those facts and figures about Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction work out?

        Only the least politicized statistics can be trusted from the government.
        Immigration is a very politicized subject.

        • JohnEngelman

          Who do you trust? I am curious to know.

          • WR_the_realist

            Jared Taylor.

            I do trust all of our politicians to bankrupt our country.

          • John Smith

            No one. Every group has an agenda.

      • belajadevotchka2

        Is that sarcasm or trolling?

        • JohnEngelman

          It is the truth.

      • BleedALot

        The government has demonstrably lied in almost every area of statistics. Did you laugh while typing your response?

  • Dan Cooper

    If I were to assume this were true, and I do not, it would be like reporting that a stabbing victim wasn’t bleeding as much anymore.

  • listenupbub

    I believe this article. Mexico is bound to be developed. The USA companies will know that there is profit to be made there. There are plenty of other types of hispanic than Mexican trying to break in, still.

  • IstvanIN

    A messziről jött ember azt mond amit akar!

  • JohnEngelman

    At odds with the government’s claims of success, a series of academic studies in recent years have found little linkage between border security and illegal migration.

    – Jerry Markon, Washington Post, May 27, 2015

    If one does not like a policy one can convince oneself that it is ineffective.

    • WR_the_realist

      If one realizes that a policy is ineffective one can convince himself not to like it.

  • Paleoconn

    I don’t care if this is true. Legal immigration is as big a problem, if not bigger.

    • Henry Ford

      Yes, that is true. And Ted Cruz (and others) want to up legal immigration from one to TWO million per year.

    • Speedy Steve

      Refugees are the worst.

  • Henry Ford

    Lies.
    Obama told the border patrol to stand down long ago. They welcome the invaders, take them to a processing center, then bus them to a city near you.
    Not only does Obama not deport illegals, he let go of thousands of criminal illegals.
    There is a surge NOW, due to the increase in the minimum wage.
    The MSM lies and lies and lies. I totally avoid the MSM. They have no credibility at all.

  • Hilis Hatki

    Its now probably easier to enter legally .

  • John Smith

    Probably because Obongo has rolled out the red carpet for them….

    • belajadevotchka2

      Isn’t he flying ’em here on our dime?

  • belajadevotchka2

    It’s fallen to it’s lowest level because they are all here already.

  • Irish

    Of course if egalitarians were right the opposite would be true..But true enough, as our nation begins to resemble those failed States the U.S.’s attractions should certainly diminish.

  • Alucard_the_last

    Even fewer would enter if we pulled our troops out of Europe and put them on the border were they are needed.

  • Speedy Steve

    If it’s the Washington Compost, it’s a lie.