Why Immigration Reform Isn’t the Answer to Republicans’ Demographic Woes

Peyton Craighill, Washington Post, April 26 2014

We reported on Tuesday about the major demographic problem facing Republicans. So, how can the GOP start winning larger shares of non-white voters? Reforming the immigration system might not be the answer.

Why not? Because reforming the nation’s immigration laws could very well create a whole bunch of new Democrats, including in some key swing states. {snip}

The rise in the Hispanic population in the United States is problematic for the GOP, but so far it’s been quite slow. In 2004, Hispanics made up 6 percent of all voters. That ticked up to 7 percent in 2008 and 8 percent in 2012. Census voting and registration data shows that Hispanics make up significant chunks of the population in some key states, but they are not yet a well-organized voting bloc. {snip}

If many of the Hispanic non-citizens across the country became voting eligible citizens through immigration reform, some of those states become much more interesting politically. Take Texas, where only 22 percent of voters were Hispanic, but they make up 37 percent of the total population of the state. The pattern is similar in Arizona, where 17 percent of voters were Hispanic but they accounted for 29 percent of the total population.

{snip}

Simply rejecting immigration reforms aimed at a path to citizenship carry big political risks as well, including the possibility of reducing Republicans’ already-weak standing with the Hispanic voters (and future voters).

The takeaway? Hispanic citizens’ lower turnout and registration rates have so far limited their political impact. But if the significant share of Hispanic non-citizens gain a path to citizenship and actually start voting, the electoral map could change much more quickly than what the slowing changing demographics of the country suggest. And that would be a bad thing for Republicans.

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  • Puggg

    The “Republicans” who want “immigration reform” aren’t doing it for the good of the Republican Party, they’re doing it for the good of the party’s big donors, who are the bag men in between the politicians and the actual monied class.

  • About half the current US population is invested in the political process only to the extent that they want “stuff.” The stuff they want was built by whites. The Republicans can’t change the mindset that minorities believe the world owes them free stuff. Thus, the country will sink into a dismal one party rule, with the dynamism of the old USA permanently gone, replaced by a new patriotism of multiculturalism and egalitarianism. Count me out. I think the time has come to figure out how to move to Iceland or some such place.

    • IstvanIN

      Reykjavik is building a mosque.

      • RisingReich

        The only answer is war.

        • Nancy Thomas

          I’m with you.

          • Einsatzgrenadier

            They want to turn MY country into an impoverished, crime-ridden third world dump torn apart by racial and religious hatreds. And my grandchildren are supposed to inherit this mess, as minorities in the lands built by their ancestors, surrounded by hostile racial aliens? What kind of future is that? Your damn right there will be war.

          • Nancy Thomas

            I feel exactly the same way, and my anger is FIERCE. Generations of my family members fought in wars for this country, and they plan to make me a minority in my OWN DAMN COUNTRY?!
            Truly, I don’t think those idiots at the top have any idea how bad this could get, the kinds of forces that are taking form, the kind of sheer hell that will erupt due to this issue.

      • Einsatzgrenadier

        According to wiki, Iceland “has one of the smallest Muslim communities in the world, of only 770 people registered with the official Muslim organisations in the country (as of 2013). This corresponds to 0.2% of the population of Iceland.”

        Even one Muslim is too many.

        • RisingReich

          One is too many – EXACTLY.

          • IstvanIN

            They are importing more, however.

    • Einsatzgrenadier

      Massive third world immigration and multiculturalism has transformed the US into an inherently unsustainable society. What kind of nation is defined by its prosperity? Prosperity isn’t forever. Because of exponential demographic and economic growth, it will soon come to an end. What are the multicultural elites going to do when there is a crippling economic depression and they have no more cold hard cash to pay their parasitical third world hordes? This will not end without bloodshed.

      A nation is defined by how well its members can stand together during adversity. In order for group members to stand by each other during periods of adversity, they must be genetically related to each other. On the other hand, prosperity only attracts brutal, colonizing third world foreigners who rape and pillage whatever they can get their hands on. For obvious reasons, the basis of social and national cohesion can never be prosperity.

      • Bossman

        When all Western societies turn into “third world hellholes,”
        who will be top dog? There has to be nation that will be on top; that’s the way things work.

        • Japan and China. That’s my guess.

        • Nancy Thomas

          The tribe will be on top.

        • The Tribe’s nationalism will be the only nationalism not branded as racist and not attacked with massive immigration meant to weaken the majority population. You can see that now as Israel does the opposite on immigration as the rest of the west, even taking their own African refugees and shipping them off to Sweden, which should be about the whitest place on Earth. It won’t be for long though.

      • Nancy Thomas

        That’s why they’re doing it; it’s part of the never again program.

        • saxonsun

          So you think that the first time was okay and they’ve no right to protect themselves?…!

          • Nancy Thomas

            Not sure if we’re talking about the same thing but I’ll answer anyway. No, they have no right to ruin the entire western world.

    • Are there any other politically stable countries with 90% or greater white populations? Moving isn’t a realistic option for me right now, but it’s in the back of my mind if things don’t start turning around. It really makes me sad/angry that all the English-speaking countries are multicults.

    • MBlanc46

      That is downright depressing, if pretty accurate. Fortunately, I should have shuffled off into the next life before the bottom really falls out.

  • dd121

    Today’s Republicans are merely Democrats lite. I fear that if a populist movement arose that gave support to white issues it would be savagely attacked and suppressed by said repub/dems.

  • borogirl54

    Hispanics tend to have a lower turnout rate than whites. New eligible voters tend to be anchor babies who turn 18. They tend not to vote, some of them cannot vote due to having a criminal record.

  • [Guest]

    >>>…major demographic problem facing Republicans…

    >>>…problematic for the GOP…

    No, the demographic makeover of the U.S. and this latest round of so-called immigration reform (that is, removing the hinges from a door that is already standing wide open) are “problematic” for anyone who cares about white culture.

  • RisingReich

    The Stupid party is going down b/c they are STUPID. They have left middle White America to die in the streets. White America is starting to wake up to this fact. The real issue is no actual party for Whites has any chance of filling the power gap, and the Stupid party is at least smart enough to realize that White America has no real alternative.

    It’s a miserable state of affairs that can’t go on forever, but alas, tomorrow always seems to come.

    • Nancy Thomas

      No, we do have an alternative. If they pass amnesty I will leave the GOP and work FULL TIME against them.

  • Dave4088

    You know it’s bad when even a left wing propaganda organ like Washington Post is scratching their heads over growing Republican enthusiasm for amnesty legislation. The Republican party in 2014 is akin the Democrat party throughout the 1980’s.

    At their current leftward trajectory the Republicans will be very similar to ultra left wing Obama Democrats in two decades hence and I envision an elderly Glenn Beck and Sarah Palin celebrating Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi as great blast from the past conservatives. Glenn Beck will tear up.

  • willbest

    Of course if the GOP blocks amnesty it might find a few million more voters willing to get off the couch to offset the angry Hispanics who incidentally don’t give a toss because they don’t want the next wave coming in behind them taking their free stuff.

  • WR_the_realist

    The article states the obvious. We all know that “immigration reform” is suicide for the Republican party. I have to assume that John McCain, John Boehner, Lindsey Graham, and the other traitors have been sufficiently well rewarded by their corporate paymasters that they don’t care.

  • Pro_Whitey

    Geez, even the MSM Washington Post is spoon feeding reality, but Boehner, Cantor, Graham, McCain, et al still can’t figure it out? Like others, I have come to believe that they can and have figured it out, but they are literally selling us out for some donations and sinecures.

  • Copyright101

    “So, how can the GOP start winning larger shares of non-white voters?”

    They can’t, it’s a complete waste of time at best and deliberate misdirection at worst.

    Somewhere online you can dig up exit polls for US presidential elections going back to the 1970s. All non-whites ie jews, Asians, blacks, hispanics vote heavily Democrat every election, every four years, without fail.

    • Norseman

      My understanding is that Orientals, until quite recently, tended to lean Republican.
      Back in 1998, I read an article in the Economist about the Senate race in California in that year. The incumbent female Democrat, I think it was Boxer, was facing an Asian Republican. As far as I remember, the article said that people of East Asian ancestry tended to vote Republican.