White Like Me

Ronald Brownstein, National Journal, March 15, 2012

The conditions are converging for another presidential election that will sharply divide the country along racial lines, with troubling implications no matter which side prevails.

From one direction, the Republican presidential primaries have witnessed an epic failure by the GOP contenders to attract and engage minority voters. White voters, especially older ones, are routinely casting 90 percent or more of the votes in GOP contests this year, at least as high a proportion as in 2008.

Simultaneously, despite some recent gains, President Obama continues to struggle among white voters, especially the white working class. In 2008, he became the first presidential nominee ever to lose white voters by double digits and still win the White House. In 2012, as minorities loom larger in the vote, Obama could lose whites even more lopsidedly and still win reelection.

As these trends intensify, the election could reinforce the hardening re-racialization of American politics. Republicans today rely on a preponderantly white coalition centered on older and blue-collar voters, many of whom express great unease not only about activist government but also about the demographic changes swelling the minority population. Democrats depend on a coalition of minorities and of white voters (particularly those with college degrees) who are the most comfortable with government activism and the propulsive demographic transformation.

This year’s tumultuous Republican presidential race has underscored the dominance of whites, especially older white voters, in the GOP. After Tuesday’s contests in Alabama and Mississippi, exit polls have been conducted in 16 states that have held Republican primaries or caucuses. In all but two, whites cast at least 90 percent of the ballots. Indeed, whites delivered at least 94 percent of the votes in all but five GOP contests this year. Whites represented only 74 percent of all voters in the 2008 general election.

Among those 16 states, only Michigan has seen its minority vote share increase by more than a trace (to 8 percent, from 4 percent in 2008). Whites are dominating the GOP electorate even in rapidly diversifying states. In Nevada, whites were just 69 percent of all voters in the 2008 general election, but they cast 90 percent of the votes in last month’s Republican caucus. Similar gaps are evident in GOP primaries from Georgia, Mississippi, and Virginia, to Arizona, Ohio, and Oklahoma.

{snip}

As population trends continue, the electoral math will grow more daunting for Republicans. If the GOP allows Democrats to continue winning four-fifths of all minority voters—as Obama did in 2008—Republicans will need to attract an implausibly high percentage of whites to win presidential elections. The conundrum is that the party’s current reliance on the most conservative whites constrains its ability to embrace policies attractive to minorities, as the harsh primary debate on immigration demonstrates.

Today, however, the GOP’s white strength can still overcome its minority weakness. Obama could win reelection with backing from only about 39 percent of whites if he duplicates his 2008 showing among minorities (and if their vote share rises slightly). But Democrats couldn’t muster even that much white support during the 2010 Republican congressional landslide. And Obama has no guarantee of crossing that bar this fall. {snip}

{snip}

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  • American politics are becoming Mississippiized racial headcounts, and Ronald Brownstein finds something wrong with this?

    I call it a feature, not a bug.

    Now the trick is getting “our” (ahem, ahem, cough, cough) party to do something for us.

    •  Ronald Brownstein, huh? I won’t say the J word, I’ve given up here. This place for the most part is a false front for Whites. At least the commentators are good.

      • blight14

         Well stated…..B

  • Southern__Hoosier

    So why do Republicans keep kowtowing to minorities?  They are not going to get minorities to vote for them and all they are going to do is alienate White voters.

    • What you are saying is not true. All of the GOP presidential candidates have not supported the Dream Act and other Latino friendly policies and as a result have lost the Latino vote to Obama, whom they are not enamored with as well, due to Secure Communities and the large number of deportations during his term of office.

      • Southern__Hoosier

        You must be new to AMREN.

        “The number of deportation cases filed by federal immigration officials
        dropped by nearly a third in the first three months of the fiscal year,
        according to a report by the Syracuse University Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse.”
        http://amren.com/news/2012/02/number-of-deportation-cases-drops-by-nearly-a-third-report-says/

        Like Obama or not, he’s their sugar daddy. He’s the one that protects them from all those nasty states that  want illegal deported and certainly don’t want them to vote.

        • I know that Romney has stated that he will veto the Dream Act if he becomes president and it comes across his desk. Other candidates have stated that they are for the construction of the border fence and the need to control the border. 

          • Southern__Hoosier

             Talk is cheap. The politicians are always talking about what they going to do.  Here is South Carolina the Republicans passed a tough new immigration bill that has been challenged by the Obama administration. Now we learn there is a loophole big enough to drive trucks loaded with illegals through it. Farm workers and domestics are exempt from it. When the time comes it will be the same thing with tough immigration laws by the Republicans. Plenty of great speeches, along with plenty of exemptions and other loopholes. 
            http://www.foxcarolina.com/story/17188344/sc-immigration-law-exempts-farmworkers-nannies

            Crystal, I glad to see that you still have faith in our political system, but I have been disapointed too many times in people I have voted for.

          • They’ve been talking since Operation Wetback in the 1950s.
            Republicans have had 60 years and numerous occasions of either control of the presidency, supreme court and/or Congress to “get tough on immigration.”

            There are approximately 20 million illegal felony invaders in the country. America has about 55 million browns of every little Spanish-speaking variety you can imagine. It is second only to Mexico when it comes to “Hispanic” population!

            Talk is cheap! What have conservatives really conserved, anyway? Ditch the GOP, it is a dead end and a false front for Whites. We need to form parties like National Front, Jobbik and the like in America. The GOP is a joke!

      • Bon, From the Land of Babble

        …and the large number of deportations during his term of office.

        What deportations?  The 0bama regime knows an election is coming up and needs every illegal alien he can get — also on his left wing is the execrable holder challenging and nullifying voter ID laws across the country: 

        Rep. John Culbertson (R-Texas) reports: 

        An illegal alien apprehended by the U.S. Customs and Border Protection agency during the last fiscal year had an estimated 84 percent chance of never being prosecuted, that those who were not prosecuted had a chance of being home in time for dinner, after being in custody for a few hours. 

        And, we have illegal alien-amnesty-by-executive order.  The obama regime accomplishes its goals through force, fiat and fraud.

        The Obama administration issued a memo announcing that federal immigration officials do not have to deport illegal aliens if they are enrolled in any type of education program, if their family members have volunteered for U.S. military service, or even if they are pregnant or nursing. This new policy of ‘prosecutorial discretion’ was quietly announced on Friday afternoon, and completely ignored by the mainstream press.”Don’t think this isn’t reported in the Spanish media, it is.Bon

        • Obama has deported over one million illegals since he has been in office. This is what the mainstream media says but what I see is that especially when a young dream act student is about to be deported. The rest of his or her ilk complain and they get deferred status. I think they should deport all illegals, regardless of how long they have been here.

          • I can actually believe that “Obama has deported over a million illegals.”  That’s because I know the fraudulent semantics of the word “deported.”  It simply means either two things in our day and age:

            1.  Turning away an illegal alien at the border before he can sneak in is said to be a “deportation”

            2.  Beginning the paperwork process of deporting an illegal alien that’s in country is said to be a “deportation,” even though it rarely results in actual deportation.   I’m sure Team Obama is filling out a lot of deportation paperwork, doing so with the full knowledge that it will get hung up somewhere along the way.  So the illegals will get to stay (which is what they want), while on the other hand they can trumpet their “deportation.”

    • haroldcrews

      Republican candidates kowtow because if they did not the media will relegate them to the fringe and it would be the end of their political career.  The MSM serves as a gate-keeper and whites who accept race as a primary component of identity are not  invited to the party.  So long as there are Republican candidates who’ll dance to the media’s tune (and there are always going to be sellouts)  any race realist Republicans there might be won’t have a Chinaman’s chance.

      • The_Bobster

        Is that better than an Engleman’s chance?  😉

  • “Racialization” only becomes an issue when Whites engage in it. When minorities engage in racialization (like over 90% of blacks voting for Obama), it’s called “activism.” Problem is, we have too many Whites who are White in name only. One witty Am Ren reader used the acronym “WINO” to describe such people. I think it is worth mentioning here.

    • WINO would be me, though it is obvious to come up with. Thanks for compliment.

      I don’t mean to insult wine, by the way. Lambrusco and moscato go pretty well with breakfast.

      • blight14

         That would be the breakfast of champions!

      • Shame on me for not remembering that Hunter! I think it is brilliant, despite your claims to the contrary. 🙂

  • “Re-racialization” of American politics? What and who are the Hispanic / Black Caucus representing? Oh, I get it now. He is referring to Whites when he uses the term
    “re-racialization!”

  • JohnEngelman

    Neither party represents the economic and social interests of white blue collar workers. Nevertheless, because race loyalty is stronger than class consciousness, most white blue collar workers who vote, vote Republican. 

  • JohnEngelman

    In two important respects, white blue collar workers have benefited from their support for the Republican Party. The black ghetto riots ended abruptly with the inauguration of Richard Nixon in 1969. Since the inauguration of Ronald Reagan in 1981 the prison population has tripled and the crime rate has declined by one third. 
     
    Unfortunately, blue collar wages have also declined since 1980. 

  • JackKrak

    So the GOP is guilty of an “epic failure” to get minority votes but Obama “continues to struggle” to gain white votes. Oh, ok.

    Why is it that media types never think that the reasons behind the Republicans’ “failure” among minorites says more about blacks, hispanics, etc. than it does about the Republicans?

  • ACE2X

    This country’s Founders held freedom to be the highest principle of the new nation.
    One is free to succeed or fail. Democrats oppose such an idea. They believe in re-distribution from the successful to the failures. Non-whites should not be allowed to fail no matter how hard they try! The Latinos want the U.S. to surrender sovreignty so they can pillage and plunder at will.
    Democrats are willing to comply, most Repubs are not. Mexicans will not tolerate the U.S.having immigration laws like they have in Mexico. Democrats agree.

  •  “From one direction, the Republican presidential primaries have witnessed
    an epic failure by the GOP contenders to attract and engage minority
    voters”

    What is the GOP supposed to tell a double digit IQ, permanent criminal underclass that only exists as a middle class because of massive, confiscatory, multi-trillion dollar fraud and theft that it wants to end?

    “A vote for me is a vote for deporting 20 million of your kin. A vote for me is a vote for your breakfast, lunch and dinner going away. A vote for me is a vote to not get your rent subsidized. A vote for me is the end of your race getting into college.”

    Democrats have spent the last 60 years bribing blacks and browns. How can you blame somebody for siding with the group that has stolen trillions from others and given it to them? What is the Sheriff of Nottingham supposed to say to the people receiving stolen goods from Robin Hood in order to get votes?

  • Republicans haven’t received a majority of the black vote in decades if ever. I cannot say for certain, but blacks have been in the clutches of the bribing, anti-White DNC since Kennedy/Great Society bought them off.

    Hispanics, latinos, browns, what have you, HAVE NEVER VOTED MAJORITY REPUBLICAN IN ANY FORM OF NATION WIDE ELECTION. Ever. Not in one mid term or presidential election ever!

    Finally, a little math.

    Whites are 81 percent of the electorate. Hispanics are 8 percent of the electorate. They don’t vote nearly as much as Whites, though I suspect that they vote earlier and more often. A candidate who merely received another 10 percent of the White vote would be better off than a person receiving the entirety of the Lateeeeeeeeno vote.

     

    • Great point Hunter. I would also like to mention that Kennedy and the rest of his DNC cronies wanted to ensure he had a constant flow of third-world browns for decades to come in order to bribe. This is the reason for the passage of the 1965 Immigration Act, opening our borders to a massive tidal wave of a third world brown underclass, heavily dependent on government subsidies for their subsistence. This was the shinning moment for Kennedy as well as Lyndon Johnson, signing this treasonous act into law!

      •  For that very same reason, the UK let in “Afro-Caribbeans” and “Asians” (psychopath Muslims). The Labour Party admitted that was their reason.

        Now, 3 percent of the population commits a reported 60 percent of all knife and gun crime. 90 percent of Muslims are on some form of welfare. There are “Grooming gangs” where Muslims drug, brainwash and kidnap white girls into being sex toys.

        But hey, the Left gets their votes. They said they would “rub the Right’s nose” into immigration.

  • The_Bobster

    Don’t forget Charlize Theron and her new fashion accessory.

  • Southern__Hoosier

     Thanks for the info.

  • Southern__Hoosier

    And the Tea Party is equally worthless. They are so afraid of offending anyone, they would openly vote for Comrade Obama just to prove they weren’t racist.

    • Not to mention they never saw a war in the Middle East on Israel’s behalf that they didn’t want to draft me to fight in. Christard, Israel-loving, flabby middle-aged chicken hawks. The “Baby Boomer” generation that ruined this country having one last little hissy fit over the mess they’ve spent the last 30 years creating. I’ve been to quite a few Tea Party functions and Ron Paul ones too. Give me Paul anyday.