A Deep Dive Into Party Affiliation

Pew Research, April 7, 2015

Democrats hold advantages in party identification among blacks, Asians, Hispanics, well-educated adults and Millennials. Republicans have leads among whites–particularly white men, those with less education and evangelical Protestants–as well as members of the Silent Generation.

A new analysis of long-term trends in party affiliation among the public provides a detailed portrait of where the parties stand among various groups in the population. It draws on more than 25,000 interviews conducted by the Pew Research Center in 2014, which allows examination of partisan affiliation across even relatively small racial, ethnic, educational and income subgroups. {snip}

{snip}

Party ID by race, education

There continue to be stark divisions in partisan leaning by race and ethnicity: Fully 64% of blacks identify as Democrats, compared with 25% of whites. Whites are far more likely than blacks to describe themselves as independents (40% vs. 26%) or Republicans (30% vs. 5%).

As is the case with whites, Hispanics are more likely to describe themselves as independents (44%) than Democrats (34%) or Republicans (13%). More than twice as many Hispanics either affiliate with the Democratic Party or lean Democratic than identify as Republicans or lean toward the GOP (56% vs. 26%), based on interviews conducted in English and Spanish in 2014.

Party identification among Asian Americans has shown little change in recent years. Nearly half of Asian-Americans (46%) are political independents, 37% identify as Democrats while just 11% affiliate with the GOP. When the partisan leanings of independents are included, 65% of Asian Americans identify as Democrats or lean Democratic compared with just 23% who identify as Republicans or lean Republican. This data is based on interviews conducted in English.

Differences in partisan identification across educational categories have remained fairly stable in recent years, with one exception: Highly-educated people increasingly identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party.

About a third (34%) of those with a college degree or more education identify as Democrats, compared with 24% who identify as Republicans; 39% are independents. In 1992, Republicans held a seven-point lead among those with at least a college degree (34% to 27%), while 37% were independents.

Democrats now hold a 12-point lead (52% to 40%) in leaned party identification among those with at least a college degree, up from just a four-point difference as recently as 2010 (48% to 44%). There has been less change since 2010 in the partisan leanings of those with less education.

Currently, those who have attended college but have not received a degree lean Democratic 47% to 42%; Democrats hold a 10-point lead in leaned party identification among those with no more than a high school education (47% to 37%).

The Democrats’ wide lead in partisan identification among highly-educated adults is largely the result of a growing advantage among those with any post-graduate experience. A majority (56%) of those who have attended graduate school identify with the Democratic Party or lean Democratic, compared with 36% who align with or lean toward the GOP.

Among those who have received a college degree but have no post-graduate experience, 48% identify as Democrats or lean Democratic, while 43% affiliate with the GOP or lean Republican.

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  • superlloyd

    Good strategy, Jeb.

    • BloodofAlbion75

      Jeb’s “strategy” is the politically suicidal strategy most favored by greedy,short-sighted and out-of-touch establishment Republicans:

      “How Mass (Legal) Immigration Dooms A Conservative Republican Party”
      http://www.eagleforum.org/immigration.html

      “Immigration’s Impact on Republican Prospects,1980-2012”
      http://cis.org/immigration-impacts-on-republican-prospects

    • TruthBeTold

      I can’t imagine Republican pollsters and strategists don’t know the numbers.

      Either they’re incredibly dumb, shortsighted, or out to deliberately reduce Whites to a minority.

  • There is always a noticeable differential between the way people party self-id and the way people actually vote.

    • John Smith

      I’d ID as Republican, but I’ve voted as independent last election because of my disgust with them. It won’t be too much longer before I abandon hope in the GOP ever finding their way again and begin to ID myself as an independent.

  • Chip Carver

    Democrat? Republican? 66% (and climbing) of them receive some type of “social assistance” from Uncle Sam, at YT’s expense. That tells me all I need to know.

  • Hammerheart

    Yeah. I don’t think this is going to work out too well for Jeb, too bad because Obama has really made the democratic party look foolish. But, this is Washington Football we’re talking about. No matter who wins we still lose.

  • Democrats dish out the goodies. White men work to pay for them, so white men choose not to vote for their own enslavement. Simple logic.

    • JohnEngelman

      What you posted does not explain this, “Democrats hold advantages in party identification among…well-educated adults”

      • Ike Eichenberg

        You lack the objectivity to recognize that “highly educated” in the modern Marxist dominated academia is often more accurately stated as highly indoctrinated.

        • JohnEngelman

          The best educated people in the United States tend to be the most intelligent, and the best informed. They are not indoctrinated. They are well able to do their own thinking.

          • richard garyson

            One can be intelligent and brainwashed at the same time. A university education is universally leftist education. An intelligent person can be completely lacking in criitical thinking skills and very resistant to logical arguments that clash with their cherished beliefs. I know many intelligent people who believe that increases in the minimum wage help the poorest, least skilled, and least educated workers, even though simple logic suggests otherwise.

          • JohnEngelman

            Your definition of “brainwashed” is anyone who disagrees with you. Well educated people do not have washed brains. They have superior brains.

            Increases in the minimum wage has indeed helped low income people. The reason well educated people think so is because it is true.

          • richard garyson

            I honestly cannot tell if you are taking a serious position or playing devils advocate, because from your other posts you seem too intelligent have written what I have just read.

            Google “brainwash definition” and I doubt you could seriously deny that it does not occur on universities be they community college or Ivy League.

            Of course the minimum wage helps some, but it harms more than it helps. There is also the matter of forcing an employer to pay more for a job than he is willing and that should be morally offensive to decent people.

          • Lexonaut

            “I honestly cannot tell if you are taking a serious position [regarding the beneficial effects of minimum wage laws].”

            He’s serious.

          • JohnEngelman

            Google “brainwash definition” and I doubt you could seriously deny that it does not occur on universities be they community college or Ivy League.

            – ridchard garyson

            On October 24, 2014 American Renaissance posted a review by Thomas Jackson of “The Hidden Agenda of the Political Mind.”

            This book reported that of the Harvard graduating class of 1977 “they skew about six to one Democrat versus Republican.” page 145

            That is probably typical of Ivy League students, professors, and alumni. I can think of two reasons for that. The first is noblesse oblige. Those with so many privileges have the character to care about the unprivileged.

            The second is the intrinsic merit of the Democratic perspective. Since the beginning of the twentieth century there has nearly always been more job creation per year under Democratic presidents, more growth in the per capita gross domestic product, and more growth in the stock market.

          • JohnEngelman

            Of course the minimum wage helps some, but it harms more than it helps.

            – richard garyson

            Since minimum wage laws were first passed during the New Deal we have had plenty of experience with their economic effects. There is little evidence that they contribute to inflation or increases in the unemployment of the poor. They certainly did not have that effect during the administrations of Franklin Roosevelt, John Kennedy, Lyndon Johnson, or Bill Clinton.

            When the minimum wage goes up minimum wage earners benefit. Those earning close to the minimum wage usually get raises also. As these people buy more, manufacturers have the incentive to hire more people to produce and sell what is produced.

          • JohnEngelman

            There is also the matter of forcing an employer to pay more for a job than he is willing and that should be morally offensive to decent people.

            – richard garyson

            The growing gap is morally offensive to decent people.

          • richard garyson

            I am troubled by it as well, but I think it is due more to the way our society promotes dysgenics than it is to greed. And for as “intelligent” as academics might be, most of them would rather see our civilization reduced to ashes, before they would throw in the towel for their advocacy of dysgenics.

            I don’t want to be ruled by the mental elites anymore than i want to be ruled a 100 random names from a blue collar phone book, I just want to be free to live my life as I will it.

          • Alden

            The most highly educated people in the country believed Officer Wilson shot Brown because Wilson is a racist

            You graduated around 1970 when liberal propaganda was confined to “accomplishments of the Roosevelt administration”
            Go ever to your local community college or Cal
            Berkeley and check out the courses .

            Liberalism has changed from class warfare to race warfare and the democrats and liberals want us dead as much as the New Black Panthers do

          • JohnEngelman

            The most highly educated people in the country believed Officer Wilson shot Brown because Wilson is a racist

            – Alden

            Can you document that?

          • Lexonaut

            True. And repeated demographic analyses of the Rush Limbaugh show audience bear this out.

          • JohnEngelman

            According to a report posted September 27, 2012 by the Pew Research Center 29 percent of Rush Limbaugh listeners have college degrees. 32 percent have high school degrees or less. Those who watch FOX News are even less well educated.

            By contrast, of those who read The New York Times 56 percent have college degrees. 18 percent have high school degrees or less. Of those who listen to National Public Radio 54 percent have college degrees. 28 have high school degrees or less.

          • Lexonaut

            And while I would have to look it up, probably 99% of readers of the Wall Street Journal have college degrees. The statistics you cite are simply irrelevant.

            What counts here is the relative education level of various mass media audiences such as the broadcast TV networks.

          • JohnEngelman

            Actually it is 56 percent, the same as The New York Times.

            CNN, Local TV news, morning news, and MSNBC have a higher percentage of college graduates than FOX News. Other television sources are not listed.

      • Alden

        Same reason people who went to Catholic school college and grad school, were raised in a Catholic home and married an observant Catholic stay Catholic; a lifetime of Catholic teaching

        In America the more educated you are more years you have spent absorbing liberal Democrat anti White indoctrination
        Indoctrination from age 5 to 25 or older in the Denocratic party and liberalism. Means democratic liberals

  • Sissy White

    “Just 13 percent of Hispanics say they are Republican; 34 percent say they’re Democrats”,
    while the other 53% don’t even know where they are or if they are alive!

    • nordicman

      They don’t show concern about the ‘white vote’

  • Jaggers

    I’m highly skeptical of the relatively high number of black “independents”, at 26%.

  • InAFreeCountry

    I never understood why educated whites vote Democrat. My theory is the indoctrination one experiences in college.

    • John Smith

      Many post-graduate degrees end up in academia, non-profits and govt., all of which benefit from govt. handout programs.

  • MBlanc46

    I guess it’s always nice to have empirical confirmation for one’s beliefs, but did anyone ever doubt this.

  • InAFreeCountry

    No mention of the 4-to-1 ratio of Jewish people voting Democrat, even though the Dems are no friend to Israel.

  • WR_the_realist

    Well duh. It is obvious the the Republican Party is suicidal, favoring more and more Hispanic immigration while praising the family values of a group that has a 50% illegitimacy rate.

    • Alden

      And the highest abortion rate

  • Lexonaut

    For some reason this article prompts me to ask …

    Was it Ann Coulter who recently defined the word racist as someone who is winning an argument with a liberal?

  • Hilis Hatki

    As whites dwindle as a voting block the GOP may very well turn into the Hispanic Party. Whites will be left out in the cold by both parties. Whites are giving away their country.

    Intelligence…*wisdom not included.

    • nordicman

      True, unfortunately. Whites are doing NOTHING and had many opportunities to stop this, but they chose not to.

  • Hank Richter

    “More educated”, yeah, educated in what? Feminine studies? Gender Studies? Political Science? Critical Whiteness Studies? How many of them are educated in fields that actually have any real use to society, or themselves?

  • bv

    What is the “Silent Generation”?

    • I presume in this case they mean the relatively low population generation between the Greatest Generation and the Baby Boomers. Between the onset of the Great Depression and the end of WWII. An example from that generation is John McCain.

  • nordicman

    Blacks, browns, muslims, yellows, etc, all vote liberal at the ballot box (against whites), but they hate each other and fight with eachother for power.