Poll Shows Le Pen Beating Hollande in Presidential Run-Off

Hugh Carnegy, Financial Times, September 5, 2014

Marine Le Pen, leader of France’s far-right National Front, would beat struggling incumbent François Hollande in a run-off election for the French presidency, according to a new poll.

The unprecedented finding came as a fresh blow to Mr Hollande at the end of a week in which he suffered a cascade of bad news, including the publication of a lacerating book by Valérie Trierweiler, his former partner.

A poll for Ifop, published on Friday, showed that Ms Le Pen would beat Mr Hollande by 54-46 per cent if they were matched today in the decisive second round of the presidential election. The next election is due in 2017.

The survey confirmed an earlier poll showing Ms Le Pen leading all other contenders of left and right in the first round. But it was the first time she had been shown ahead of a mainstream candidate in the second round–a scenario regarded to date as unrealistic.

The Ifop poll followed another on Friday by TNS-Sofres giving Mr Hollande an all-time low approval rating of just 13 per cent.

The French president attempted to reassert his authority in a government reshuffle late last month by ejecting leftwing opponents of his recent pro-business policy turn. But, so far, his only reward has been further turmoil. “Never has a head of state been so devalued,” wrote Libération, the leftist newspaper.

The most personally wounding blow this week came from the book by Valérie Trierweiler, Mr Hollande’s former partner, called Merci pour ce moment (Thanks for the moment).

It attacked Mr Hollande for allegedly lying to her over his infidelity with actress Julie Gayet, being two-faced (“the king of double speak”) and joking derisively about the poor.


But the most damaging revelation politically was the allegation about his attitude to the poor, for a man who once said he did not like the rich. “This man of the left calls [the poor] in private les sans-dents [the toothless]–he’s very proud of his funny crack,” Ms Trierweiler wrote.


Speaking at the Nato summit in Wales, Mr Hollande insisted that no opinion poll “however difficult” would force him to give up the five-year mandate he won in 2012. Asked about Ms Trierweiler’s “toothless” allegation, he said serving the poor was his political “raison d’être”.


Mr Hollande’s 13 per cent approval rating compared with the 20 per cent floor hit during his term by Mr Sarkozy, who was shown by the Ifop poll beating Ms Le Pen in a presidential vote by 60-40 per cent.


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  • Get ready for the smear and slop machine to kick into high gear, the eighth speed on a seven-speed transmission.

  • MekongDelta69

    The AmRen ‘good news’ article of the week.

    (And believe me, there isn’t EVER much good news.)

    • me

      I LOVE this woman. Marine La Pen. So charming, so beautiful, so intelligent, so brave….
      La Pen is mightier than le sword!

      • NoMosqueHere

        I wish I could agree with you.

        Le Pen has no intention or capacity to do the really hard stuff: to wit, expel all the muslim terrorists from France. Muslims comprise at least 10% of France’s population, and that number will grow to around 30% in 20 years even if immigration is curbed. Expulsion is necessary.

        The French have shown little capacity to confront a vicious adversary. In 1940, Hitler’s army walked into Paris without a shot fired. The French will fold like a cheap camera when confronted with the likes of ISIS.

        And Le Pen sympathizes with the foreign muslim terrorist element. She opposes military confrontation of Al Qaeda or Hamas.

        • AndrewInterrupted

          Politicians recruit many a strange bedfellow as a means to an end. But, they also shed some after the end is met. Just as Obama Bin Laden recruited all those dopey White people, only to turn on them once sworn in. I’d like to see the Muzzies get from La Pen what White people got from Obama Bin Laden.

          • Ella

            Some of these dopey white people came to my door in support of Obama and trying to encourage white voters to support the demorats.

          • Garrett Brown

            I hope you “SHUT THE FRONT DOOR!” on them.

        • ATBOTL

          NMH is a neocon type pretending to be a nationalist. I encourage AR readers to look up his past posts and see for themselves.

          Notice the sole focus on Muslims rather than race, the obsession with Hamas and the constant attacks on real nationalists.

          • Franklin_Ryckaert

            That’s why I call him “NoSynagogueHere”.

        • Garrett Brown

          As long as you keep holding grudges to other whites we will never unify to fight the enemy. Every white country is folding like a camera, stop using that weak argument.

      • AndrewInterrupted

        Because European populations have been so degraded, and the European female so aggressively recruited to the anti-West side, it is only natural a woman be the front for a European renaissance. A woman has the best chance of detoxing all those women off the multi-culti Kool-Aid. The male support is already in lock-step. Just as conservatives must front a woman in the U.S., to woo those Kool-Aid drunk European-American female swing voters back to the good guys’ side.

        • AndrewInterrupted

          Here’s my favorite choice. Albeit a long shot.

          • Garrett Brown

            You love that mud shark don’t you?

  • james AZ

    hope that le pen win then expell all muslims/ Africans out of FRANCE !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • Frank_DeScushin

    Expect the media and other Cultural Marxists to greatly up their efforts to smear Le Pen prior to the 2017 election. If the Le Pen domino falls on the Marxists it could (hopefully) start a chain reaction throughout Europe.

  • Samuel_Morton

    A woman after my own heart. Let’s hope that the French populace see through the phony mudslinging that will inevitably begin in earnest by cultural Marxists against Ms. Le Pen.

  • Leon NJ

    When I watch France24 news, they always say, “the far right Front national….”. Of course they never say “far left” when they talk about the socialists or even the French Communists. It’s still pretty good news, btw.

    • Paleoconn

      Far right is what used to be normal, middle of the road.

  • nativist

    What the article doesn’t mention is that other parties to the right
    of Hollande will form a front that will run a single candidate to
    oppose LePen in a French version of a primary, that will come months
    before a two candidate final election. This, it is hoped by the es-
    tablishment will have the effect of preventing a LePen – Hollande

  • Sick of it

    “Never has a head of state been so devalued,” wrote Libération, the leftist newspaper.

    Apparently they have not heard of Barack Obama.

    • Paleoconn

      Hollande is even less popular than Obama.

      • joe pat

        Obama has a solid 13% base of support – all American blacks. Plus probably 80% of hispanics – all the nonwhite ones – giving him another 14% or so of support.

        • Paleoconn

          Plus about a third of Whites

  • Paleoconn

    LePen’s success shows that the French have balls. This is probably the biggest, best hope for Europe. Not the neutered, guilt-addled Krauts, not the English who revel in past glories while their girls are being raped and pimped, certainly not the Scandinavians or Italians.

    The French and the eastern Europeans like the Poles will bear our standard.

    • Sick of it

      If peoples like the Poles continue to bow before NATO, they will aid in the destruction of Europe, not its preservation.

      • Paleoconn

        I meant more from a traditional, cultural perspective, but you are of course correct. Too many people in the former commie bloc are too cozy with the neocon worldview.

    • manassamauler

      I live in Belgium, and most people that I come across are oblivious to the dismantling of white euro culture/society. They seem clueless and are more concerned with vacations and “cultural” and music festivals. Everyone is having so much fun!
      It’s impossible to hear the roaring tidal wave that will assuredly engulf their children and grand children.

      • Garrett Brown

        That’s because it’s Belgium. You guys are about as bad as it gets, except maybe comparable to Sweden. You’re bringing in more immigrants than any other European country. The Belgic people need to wake up.

      • Paleoconn

        The new panem et circenses. Same thing in North America, my friend.

  • Valmont

    Get ready for the revirginization of the Socialist dinosaur Dominique Strauss-Khan
    (the NYC hotel maid-rapist of 2012) and the marketing campaign to sell him as the only moral giant capable of saving France.

  • Anglokraut

    The music is terrible, and the author crammed too many words on one slide at times. Also, no citations from reputable sources clearly listed just opens up the claims made to being discredited. This slide show has a lot of good information, but it is presented poorly.

  • Sick of it

    If we had started a political party in the 1960s, the country would look very different today.

  • Sick of it

    Treason only has one punishment traditionally and it has nothing to do with imprisonment.

  • Sick of it

    Political correctness was EVERYWHERE back then. And yes, there is no political solution. Keep wasting your effort on it if you so desire, but we will only survive if we evidence the WILL to survive. Political games played by an enemy’s rules do not fit the bill. People like you have surrendered already by suggesting a political solution in a rigged system (which was not set in stone in the 60s versus the 90s).

    • ATBOTL

      Incoherent nonsense. What’s your strategy to take back America?

  • AndrewInterrupted

    How hard could it be to beat François Hollande, the most anti-West leader since Obama.

  • joe pat

    Sarkozy is a member of a tiny ethnic minority which does not want to see a strong white population.

  • Ella

    I don’t want to be pessimist, but the French like Americans have a long history of classic liberalism and strong democratic values of equality and freedoms. The problem is both countries lack the order and law enforcements to provide a balance. I just don’t see France or USA lead the way out of these societal conflicts since the government created the problems of open borders and injustices.

  • Garrett Brown

    GO Le Penn! Win so I can move to France! Haha

  • AFlaVet

    It appears that the French, along with the Brits…are finally waking up? Now how long will it take Germany to do the same?