Obama’s White Base Shows Cracks Compared with 2008

Lydia Saad, Gallup, June 12, 2012

Gallup Daily tracking indicates Barack Obama is receiving less support in the 2012 presidential election from some of the white subgroups that gave him the strongest support in 2008. These include non-Hispanic white registered voters who are 18 to 29 years old, female postgrads, and the nonreligious, among others.

{snip}

The 46% of registered voters supporting Obama today is five percentage points below the 51% supporting him in final weeks of the 2008 election campaign. Similarly, whites’ support for Obama is six points lower than it was in October/November 2008 (38% vs. 44%), and blacks’ is down four points (87% vs. 91%). At the same time, Hispanics’ support, at 67%, is essentially unchanged.

Whites make up about three-quarters of all U.S. registered voters, and are therefore the most important racial or ethnic group in any election, at least mathematically. Even if Obama were to regain his 2008 level of support among blacks and improve his support somewhat among Hispanics, he could still lose if his support among whites slips any further. {snip}

{snip}

Obama Support Slips Among White Postgrads of Both Genders

Obama still enjoys higher support from white women than white men, as he did in 2008; however, his support from both groups has declined. Now, 34% of white men and 41% of white women support him, while the plurality or majority of both groups support Romney.

Beyond the overall gender breaks, support for Obama was particularly high among white men and women with postgraduate levels of education in 2008, and remains so today. But support for Obama in 2012 is down among all four gender/education groups, and is down the most—by nine points—among postgraduate women, followed by non-postgraduate men (eight points).

{snip}

Obama Loses Support Among Low-Income Whites

There was a modest income skew in Obama’s support among whites in 2008, but that has largely disappeared in the recent 2012 data, given the larger-than-average declines in support seen for him among low-income whites.

Obama’s support is down nine points among those earning less than $24,000 as well as among those earning $24,000 to $59,999 per year. At the same time, his support among higher-income Americans is down only three points.

{snip}

[Editor’s Note: More subgroups of whites are discussed in the original article below, which includes precise breakdowns of whites’ support of Obama.]

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  • JohnEngelman

    Tuesday, June 12, 2012
    Despite “Bad Week,” Obama Reaches 50% Job ApprovalObama’s job approval ratings have gone up, not down over the last week or so. In fact, in our three-day rolling average, Friday through Sunday, Obama’s job approval was 50%. This marks the first time he has reached that milestone since early May. Obama’s job rating for last week as a whole was 47%, which is one point higher than the previous week — and basically no different from what we have been seeing for months now.  http://pollingmatters.gallup.com/ 

    • Church_of_Jed

      We did our research and found where those who drifted away from Obama have landed: in Golden Dawn Greece.

      If you haven’t felt joy or hope ever since you first heard Obamau-mau saying, “We are only five days away from fundamentally transforming the United States of America,” then I offer you a moment’s reprieve from your Diversity misery.

      Watch what the Victorious Leader says from 1:32 to 1:41, and see the beautiful White girl’s response.

      She gives us hope. She’s a former Obamaniac, now fully White Awake. May her Whites Only! sisters worldwide join her revival, for truly, she hath transgressed and transcended Diversity while manifesting and embracing Whiteness, finally!

      http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/video/2012/jun/13/golden-dawn-greece-election-video

      But we think maybe she was just carried away by the excitement of the moment and didn’t really understand what he was saying. She thought she was hearing this, and that’s why she cheered- we cheer for her and pledge our blood to the hopes of her Diversity-less future-

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i-6L_hT3QtQ

    • The__Bobster

      http://godfatherpolitics.com/5649/why-are-president-obamas-overall-poll-numbers-still-high-with-all-the-bad-news/

      I’m perplexed. President Obama’s poll numbers are dropping with almost every group, even among blacks. Even so, the media keep reporting that his overall approval rating is still around 50 percent. Even ‘Obama Girl’ has lost her crush on the President. Are the media manipulating the overall numbers to mask what’s really going on? Consider these individual reports.A new Pew Research survey reports that the “world has cooled on Obama.”Among the 21 countries surveyed, the largest drop in approval — from 57% to 27% — was seen in China, the Global Attitudes Project reveals. . . . Among five European countries surveyed both in 2009 and 2012, approval of Mr Obama’s international policies dropped from 78% to 63%. In five Muslim countries surveyed in both years, the approval rate dropped from 34% to 15%. Russia also joined the countries with double-digit declines, from 40% of respondents approving US international policies to 22%, an 18% decrease.There’s a new poll out that President Obama “is rapidly losing support among African-American voters in North Carolina.” If the election were held today, Mitt Romney would get 20 percent of the black vote. In 2008, John McCain got 5 percent of the black vote.Spike Lee is worried. Here’s what he told GQ magazine:“It is not a lock that President Obama is getting a second term and people have to really rekindle the enthusiasm that we had the first time. I can’t say to all the people that are unhappy with him that they’re racist people. People ain’t got jobs, people are hurting. So I don’t care what color you are, if people are out of work, it’s tough. And then when you’re the first African American president, that’s not helping either.”Fix the grammar, and these could be Republican talking points.A new Gallup Tracking Poll is showing signs that President Obama “is receiving less support in the 2012 presidential election from some of the white subgroups that gave him the strongest support in 2008. These include non-Hispanic white registered voters who are 18 to 29 years old, female postgrads, and the nonreligious, among others.”Union members, a dwindling demographic, are deserting the President. “Gallup found that union member support for the president is weaker than it was on Election Day. While Obama took 67 of the union vote, according to 2008 election night polling by Peter Hart for the AFL-CIO, Gallup discovered that just 58 percent of union members back the president now. Some 35 percent support Mitt Romney, 5 percent more than Sen. John McCain won in 2008.”A new poll conducted by Siena College finds that while President Obama currently “has the support of 51 percent of Jewish voters” in New York, that number is down 22 percent. The same poll showed that Jewish voters in New York “believe that America is ‘headed in the wrong direction’ as opposed to ‘the right track,’ by a margin of 62 percent to 31 percent.”The media are trying to hold it together for President Obama. It’s anybody’s guess how long they can keep up the charade. Expect some nasty news about Romney to come out and some dirty tricks from the Chicago boys.Read more: http://godfatherpolitics.com/5649/why-are-president-obamas-overall-poll-numbers-still-high-with-all-the-bad-news/#ixzz1ximHhakt

      • JohnEngelman

        Because of the economy it is difficult to have much enthusiasm for President Obama. Nevertheless, Mitt Romney is not advocating policies which in the past have reduced unemployment or the national debt. 

  • http://countenance.wordpress.com/ Question Diversity

    There was a modest income skew in Obama’s support among whites in
    2008, but that has largely disappeared in the recent 2012 data, given
    the larger-than-average declines in support seen for him among
    low-income whites.

    Obama’s support is down nine points among those earning less than
    $24,000 as well as among those earning $24,000 to $59,999 per year. At
    the same time, his support among higher-income Americans is down only
    three points.

    This is what will make the difference.  One relatively low income white working class voter in Ohio has more leverage over who gets to be President than all the Hispanics in California, as California is one of the very few states whose white men voted Obama in 2008.

  • Church_of_Jed

    As a very White Christian, I worry about the deChristianization of America. But I also can’t encourage any Whites to attend mainline Churches and suffer through the MLK Voodoo rituals and hideous race mixing.

    The advantage the non religious have over us is that they don’t feel that their White privilege is a sin that needs atoning for through “undoing” the system of White privilege.

    • Francis Galton

      I may be an atheist, but I would gladly join the Church of Jed!

      • Church_of_Jed

        “Remembering always, my son, that there is nothing in the oaths of Christ’s brotherhood that should make a Southern patriot agree to let his nation sink into mongrelization.”

        -Thomas Dixon, The Flaming Sword, 1939

        • RobertAtwood

          Thanks for the quote – I will look up the book.

          • Church_of_Jed

            Anthony Jacob- White Man, Think Again!
            Jean Raspial- Camp of the Saints
            Wilmot Robertson- The Dispossessed Majority
            William Pierce- Turner Diaries
            Thomas Dixon- Reconstruction Trilogy
            Charles Carroll- The Negro a Beast
            Hinton Rowan Helper- The Impending Crisis, Nojoque, Negroes in Negroland, Noonday Exigencies
            John Campbell- Negromania
            The King James Bible

    • Francis Galton

       Okay, so why was my comment removed?! (first “Guest” post under Church of Jed)

    • http://seradly.blogspot.com/ REGVLVS

       You are incorrect. The “non-religious” are very often religious Liberals. Liberalism manifests itself in very religious ways, as Marxism did.

      The only non-religious people I know are those who care about nothing but playing Xbox live all day and every day.

  • Hirschibold

    Pay close attention to that 19-29 year-old group. It’s where the future is (and the future is brighter than many a pessimistic poster thinks. If this demographic had been the only one voting in France, Marine La Pen would be president right now.

    These are kids who are targeted most heavily with multicultural propaganda, and it isn’t working. Their  liberal elders are heading for retirement or are ensconced in post-secondary institutions, where they work overtime to make this country unlivable for their posterity. Their brainwashing worked on most of generation X; it isn’t working on these kids, who understand right now that they are in the fight of their lives. I’m embarrassed to say this, but in 2008 I voted for Obama. My excuse is that I had just gotten back from Iraq, and I found McCain’s statement of “100 more years” of occupation in Iraq to be disgusting, as well as his blood-lust to bomb Iran.

    But this election is to me about symbols (since neither Obama nor Romney really have white working class interest at heart). And a  majority-white nation should have a white president. The same people who would call me racist for making that statement would consider the logic flawless if it applied to Vietnam or South Africa, instead of the United States.

    I’m too young to have witnessed it, but I’m told that once upon a time the democrats had a white, working-class base. If they ever want to regain that, or at least my portion of that, they can stop making cultural warfare against the historic, silent majority in this nation, and they can run a man who looks like the people he was elected to lead, and doesn’t hate them. Simple as that.

    • http://profile.yahoo.com/RHOOBUIWVFVM6UTQIWAEDZ446U MightyWhitey

      I remember all White public schools growing up. We lived in an all White neighborhood and played on all White sports teams. We didn’t lock our doors until the early 80’s. It all seemed so normal then.

  • http://countenance.wordpress.com/ Question Diversity

     I don’t know if we can use that as a leading indicator.  It just might be your social circle.  Remember, there are people who are still amazed that any Republican won, because absolutely nobody they knew in Greenwich Village or SoHo voted for the Republican.

  • IstvanIN

    I would not count Barry Sotero out.  The Obama 2012 bumper stickers I see here in NJ are on the cars of whites, not only just middle-aged feminist hags but also old white man, turkey wattles and all!

    • http://seradly.blogspot.com/ REGVLVS

       Jews, Greeks, and other perpetual immigrants. Plus a lot of public employees.

  • Bon, From the Land of Babble

    Obama’s White base shows cracks

    Obama is free-basing white crack?

    You can only ride that “White guilt” train so far and 0bama’s White base is realizing they were lied to:  

    Hope and Change = Rope and Chains!!

    More Whites are coming to the realization that 0bama is nothing but a racist, inept punk.

    Let’s hope there is a major war in the democratic party:  Holder refusing to step down, riots in the street, Hilary running her big mouth at the convention, union goons rolling with black panthers, shots fired, LaRaza pissed off that 0bama’s doing nothing about legalizing illegal aliens.

    HA– It’s schadenfreude!!  Pass the popcorn and let the show begin!

    Bon

  • JohnEngelman

    The Washington Post 
    01/18/2012
                   
    A majority of Americans believe that former President George W. Bush is more responsible thanPresident Obama for the current economic problems in the country, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. 
                       
    Fifty-four percent of respondents said that Bush was more to blame while 29 percent put the blame on Obama; 9 percent said both men deserved blame while 6 percent said neither did. Among registered voters, the numbers are almost identical; 54 percent blame Bush, while 30 percent blame Obama…
                                    
    even one in five Republicans say Bush is more responsible than Obama for the state of the economy!
    The economic blame game numbers are somewhat remarkable given that Obama is in the third year of his presidency, a tenure defined by the continued economic distress in the country.
    http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/the-economy-its-still-bushs-fault/2012/01/17/gIQAE7Dy6P_blog.html 
     
    ————
     
    The President has obviously made mistakes. Nevertheless, the GOP has nothing to offer the economy but cuts in government spending and employment, and tax cuts for the rich. The former will have a depressing effect on job creation. The latter will increase the national debt.  

    • Bon, From the Land of Babble

      John:

      Please. It’s time to stop blaming Bush, don’t you think that is getting a little old? Ronald Reagan also inherited a very bad economy from Jimmy Carter but somehow managed to turn things around.

      Any White who votes for this regime to remain in power needs to have his head examined.  The AG, Eric Holder is an anti-White, racist,  punk only concerned with “my people” who said in testimony before the Senate Judiciary Committee that a Hate Bill does not protect Whites, heterosexuals, policemen and members of U.S. military. Only favored groups, he said, such as homosexuals, blacks, Latinos, Jews, Muslims, and women will benefit under this law.  How’s that for equality?

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rnziaXfYhc4

      0bama is attempting to convince the public that everything is just fine and that the economy is healing and headed in a positive direction.

      Meanwhile, From Business Insider,  The U.S. Economy By The Numbers: 70 Facts That Barack Obama Does Not Want You To See:

      *According to U.S. Representative Betty Sutton, an average of 23 manufacturing facilities 23 manufacturing facilities permanently shut down in the United States every single day during 2010.

      http://www.politifact.com/ohio/statements/2011/nov/07/betty-sutton/betty-sutton-says-average-15-us-factories-close-ea/

      *4300 – The amount by which real median household income has declined since Barack 0bama entered the White House:

      http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-01/obama-fails-to-stem-middle-class-slide-he-blamed-on-bush.html

      *In 2010, 2.6 million more American fell into poverty.  That was the largest increase that we have seen since the U.S. government began keeping statistics on this back in 1959.

      http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/poverty-in-america-a-special-report

      *Back in 2007, about 10 percent of all unemployed Americans had been out of work for 52 weeks or longer.  Today, that number is above 30 percent.

      *The official U.S. unemployment rate has been above 8 percent for 40 months in a row.

      http://data.bls.gov/timeseries

      *One recent survey found that 63 percent  all Americans believe that the U.S. economic model is broken.

      http://www.absolute-strategy.c

      *Today, 71 percent of all small business owners believe that the that the U.S. economy is still in a recession.

      http://www.businessweek.com/ar

      *The middle class continues to shrink 95 percent of the jobs lost during the last recession were middle class jobs.

      http://theeconomiccollapseblog

      *When Barack Obama first took office there were 2.7 million long-term unemployed Americans.  Today there are twice as many.

      *6,405,204 – The number of Americans currently on food stamps. When Barack Obama first entered the White House there were only 32 million Americans on food stamps.

      http://www.fns.usda.gov/pd/34s

      *88,000,000 – Today there are more than 88 million working-age Americans that are not employed and that are not looking for employment.  That is an all-time record high.

      http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/

      *100,000,000 – Overall, there are more than 100 million working age Americans that do not currently have jobs.

      For more fun facts about the 0bama economy, see here:

      http://theeconomiccollapseblog

      Bon

      • JohnEngelman

        Bon,
         
        Most Americans disagreed with you as recently as January 18, 2012. 
         
        Do you think the economy for most Americans would be better if the Republicans swept the election in 2008, and increased their majorities in both houses of  Congress in 2010? Why?
         
        The last time one could possibly argue that tax cuts for the rich reduced the unemployment rate was during the 1920s, when the Republicans dominated the country.
         
        From 1921 to 1928 the top tax rate declined from 73 percent to 24 percent. 
         
        http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxfacts/displayafact.cfm?Docid=213 
         
        From 1920 to 1928 the unemployment rate declined form 5.2 percent to 4.2 percent. The Great Depression followed.
         
        http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0104719.html 
         
        During the 1920s the Republicans did pay down the national debt. They did so by making deep cuts in the military spending. Since the campaign of 1980 Republicans have had difficulty understanding that the military cannot be funded with pennies from Heaven. It takes real money.

    • Bon, From the Land of Babble

      FINAL POST

      John, people can believe whatever they want.  What people believe does not trump the facts.
      The USG has a LONG history of lying to the American people and are never to be trusted.What’s unbelievable to me is how politicians and journalists keep repeating the myth that the “Bush tax cuts were ONLY for the rich.”  This is both disingenuous and a lie.According to The Heritage Foundation:Contrary to the President’s rhetoric about “the wealthiest Americans,” 60 percent of the Bush tax cuts went to middle- and low-income taxpayers.http://www.heritage.org/research/factsheets/2012/04/taxmageddon-massive-tax-hikes-on-the-horizonYesterday the President stated: Obama told the crowd he was their economic savior: ‘I have approved fewer regulations in the first three years of my presidency than my Republican predecessor did in his.’ He also warned that Republicans want to raise taxes on the middle class, adding, ‘This is not spin. This is not my opinion. These are facts.’For this 0bama receives standing ovations and accolades from the MSM.The fact is that during his first three years in office, the Obama Administration unleashed 106 new major regulations that increased regulatory burdens by more than $46 billion annually, five times the amount imposed by the George W. Bush Administration during its first three years. Hundreds more costly new regulations are in the pipeline, many of which stem from the Dodd–Frank financial regulation and Obamacare. Conveniently, of course, many of Obamacare’s main provisions—including tax increases—don’t kick in until 2014.http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2012/03/red-tape-rising-obama-era-regulation-at-the-three-year-markIF the Bush tax cuts expire,which they are set to do at the end of this year:Starting January 1, 2013, Americans will face a $494 billion tax increase, the highest ever in one year. ..Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has warned that it will be a “massive fiscal cliff” for the economy.<iHeritage research shows that families will see an average tax increase of $4,138. Baby boomers’ average increase will be $4,223, and low-income taxpayers can expect a $1,207 increase. Millennials will be hit with an average hike of $1,099, and retirees $857. These are average people, John, not just The Rich like Nancy Pelosi, Barbara Boxer, Diane Feinstein and Gerry BrownThe Heritage Foundation continues:Taxmageddon falls primarily on middle and low-income Americans, that's because The Bush Tax Cuts affected primarily middle- and low-income taxpayers.  Here's an interactive map that shows how much  Taxmageddon will affect individuals — that is, the 1/2 of us who pay taxes.http://www.heritage.org/issues/taxes/taxmageddonAnd, finally, from Heritage:This is only the direct impact on individual taxpayers. Americans at all income levels will feel the pain of Taxmageddon, because it will slow job creation and wage growth. At 8.2 percent unemployment, it’s the last thing the economy needs.Let me ask you two things, John.1.  Do you believe the economists are The Heritage Foundation are wrong?  Economists who have done the research and made studying the American economy their life’s work?2.  What does Paul Krugman say about the expiration of The Bush Tax Cuts?  Does he believe only “The Rich” benefitted from the tax cuts?  Or does he think The Heritage Foundation is wrong?Finally, again, once more For The Record.I am  a Libertarian, not a Republican or Democrat, so I would appreciate it if you would stop claiming that I support The Republican Party and admire Rich People.I happened to think the Founding Fathers were right.Bon 

      • JohnEngelman

        What does Paul Krugman say about the expiration of The Bush Tax Cuts?  Does he believe only “The Rich” benefitted from the tax cuts?                                            
        – Bon, From the Land of Babble
                                                 
        —————–            
                                                                           
        Yes, and he is right. Job creation per year under George W. Bush was the lowest since the end of the Second World War. The Wall Street Journal called this, “the worst track record on record.”
        http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2009/01/09/bush-on-jobs-the-worst-track-record-on-record/ 
                                                   
        —————–                   
                                                
        SEP 11 2009, 10:41 AM ET 84Thursday’s annual Census Bureau report on income, poverty and access to health care-the Bureau’s principal report card on the well-being of average Americans-closes the books on the economic record of George W. Bush.                                       It’s not a record many Republicans are likely to point to with pride.                                          On every major measurement, the Census Bureau report shows that the country lost ground during Bush’s two terms. While Bush was in office, the median household income declined, poverty increased, childhood poverty increased even more, and the number of Americans without health insurance spiked. By contrast, the country’s condition improved on each of those measures during Bill Clinton’s two terms, often substantially.http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2009/09/closing-the-book-on-the-bush-legacy/26402/                                                    —————–                   
                                                                                            Commerce Department data released today show that the share of national income going to wages and salaries in 2006 was at its lowest level on record  with data going back to 1929.[1]  The share of national income captured by corporate profits, in contrast, was at its highest level on record.[2] http://www.cbpp.org/cms/?fa=view&id=634 

      • JohnEngelman

        I happened to think the Founding Fathers were right.Bon
        ———-
        Were they right about preserving the slave trade and slavery? Denying women and white men without private property the right to vote? Genocide and race displacement against the American Indians?  

  • xxxtonygunsxxx

     who wants to guess on how many negro will kill other negro in chicago this weekend and how many shot and number mob beatings. heres mine: 12 killed 37 shot and 2 mob beatings. your turn.

  • JohnEngelman

    Americans say Bush still more to blame than Obama for economy
    By Olivier Knox | The Ticket – 3 hrs ago 
     
    More than two-thirds of Americans—including half of Republicans—still blame former President George W. Bush for the country’s economic ills, according to a new Gallup poll released on Thursday, hours before President Barack Obama was to deliver a high-stakes speech defending his handling of the weak economy. 
     
    What one might call the blame gap has narrowed considerably: When Gallup first asked Americans in July 2009 whom they blamed for the poor economy, 80 percent laid a great deal or a moderate amount of blame on Bush, and only 32 percent blamed Obama. The current numbers show 68 percent of the public blames the former president while 52 percent say Obama deserves the blame. (The numbers total more than 100 percent because the question was not “which one do you blame more,” but how much blame each president deserves individually.) 
    http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/americans-bush-still-more-blame-obama-economy-143913248.html 
     

  • ageofknowledge

    Crack it open. We won’t be seeing the media herald him as the second coming this time around. His opponent may actually get some interview time in.